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Wrestling Observer Rewind ★ Oct. 7, 2002

Going through old issues of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter and posting highlights in my own words. For anyone interested, I highly recommend signing up for the actual site at f4wonline and checking out the full archives.
PREVIOUSLY:
1-7-2002 1-14-2002 1-21-2002 1-28-2002
2-4-2002 2-11-2002 2-18-2002 2-25-2002
3-4-2002 3-11-2002 3-18-2002 3-25-2002
4-1-2002 4-8-2002 4-15-2002 4-22-2002
4-29-2002 5-6-2002 5-13-2002 5-20-2002
5-27-2002 6-3-2002 6-10-2002 6-17-2002
6-24-2002 7-1-2002 7-8-2002 7-15-2002
7-22-2002 7-29-2002 8-5-2002 8-12-2002
8-26-2002 9-2-2002 9-9-2002 9-16-2002
9-23-2002 9-30-2002
  • Keiju Muto was officially named president of All Japan Pro Wrestling this week at the company's 30th Anniversary party with Motoko Baba stepping down and handing over the reins of the promotion. It marks the end of the Giant Baba era of AJPW and the beginning of the company entering the modern world of professional wrestling. This was demonstrated with AJPW's new TV show, which as expected, was announced as Muto's first new act as president. It was similar to a K-1 hype show, with highlights and interviews and a more realistic, shoot-style approach (oh god, just what Japan needs more of). Muto is working with K-1 promoter Kazuyoshi Ishii and Ishii has suggested AJPW needs to step up the entertainment aspect of its shows. The in-ring is good, but he believes they're lacking things like elaborate ring entrances and big video screens to make it more viewer-friendly. It's true that K-1 pretty much pioneered the big production presentation that both WCW Nitro and WWF's Raw later copied. Anyway, this show was all building up to a big card in November which will feature AJPW wrestlers along with K-1 and PRIDE fighters. Are we sure this new AJPW president isn't just Inoki in Muta face paint?
  • Anyway, Muto also announced plans to run the Tokyo Dome next year and possibly run shows in the U.S. as well. Former Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiro Mori gave a speech at the party, which is the equivalent of Bill Clinton showing up to give a speech at a WWE event. Mori is close politically with Hiroshi Hase, who wrestles for AJPW when not serving in government, so it's believed Hase pulled the strings to get Mori to speak. Motoko Baba will still have a financial stake in AJPW but has no title and will not be working in any official capacity. Even though Muto is technically in charge, Ishii has gained significant power throughout the industry and he has his fingers not just in AJPW but in K-1 and PRIDE as well, and there's a lot of feeling that Ishii is the one who is truly steering the ship. In fact, AJPW's new TV deal was mostly done as a favor to Ishii by the network. Dave finds it interesting that AJPW is evidently planning to follow NJPW's lead in mixing wrestling with MMA. That direction was a significant part of the reason Muto left NJPW to begin with, after having disagreements with Inoki about mixing the two. But MMA is the hottest thing in the world in Japan right now and that's where the big, record-setting money is, so it appears Muto is going along with Ishii's plan.
  • Another interesting note is regarding the way AJPW is owned. Way back in the day, Giant Baba split the company into multiple subsidiary companies that own various parts of the overall thing. All Japan Pro Wrestling Inc. is the company that Muto is taking over. However there's also Giant Service Inc. which Motoko Baba still owns and is not giving up. That company owns all of the trademarks, copyrights, and merchandising rights for AJPW talent. Then there's Baba & Jumbo Inc., which is owned by longtime AJPW referee Kyohei Wada. That company owns the physical rings and stage equipment, the trucks that move the equipment from town to town, etc. Muto doesn't own that either.
  • Vince McMahon made an off-hand remark about ECW at the latest stockholder's meeting that got some people talking about the possibility of ECW being revived under the WWE umbrella. Vince was asked about the possibility of bringing it back and said he'd like to, and give it a late-night time slot to let it run as its own separate entity. He also talked about wanting to purchase the ECW video library in bankruptcy court and talked about possibly making ECW a third brand in the future. Dave says that there's no way to make ECW viable as a brand right now. Dave thinks ECW as a brand wouldn't work. For starters, it would need to have Paul Heyman in charge because he's the only one who understands how to make "ECW" work for that cult audience. And they would also need wrestlers to carry it and right now, WWE is struggling to make people care about 2 brands without the problems adding a 3rd would bring. And would it be a touring brand? A small cult brand on a late night show doing its own tours would be a money-losing disaster. They could do it as its own TV show, but that would likely mean just filming it before Raw or Smackdown, at which point it's basically the same thing as Velocity, just with a different name. And what if it's a success? If someone gets over on late-night ECW, then you can bet your ass Vince is just gonna move them to Raw or SD so he can make money with them in prime time and tour them in big arenas. They could rename OVW and give Heyman control of that and put that on TV if they wanted, but then it's just developmental under a new name. And the reality is, ECW was a cult favorite because it wasn't WWF or WCW. The second you give Vince McMahon control of it and it becomes ECW under the WWE banner, it loses that underdog, outsider feel that made it so popular to begin with. All in all, Dave just doesn't think this can feasibly work. However, he does think there might be some big money in "one or two nostalgia PPVs." (Literally 3 years before One Night Stand and 4 years before the TV revival of ECW and Dave called every bit of it).
  • Other notes from the stockholder's call: WWE has recently shut down its planned record label, Smackdown Records. Vince admitted it was a mistake. He talked about the new movie production studio and talked about releasing low-budget straight-to-video movies with WWE wrestlers (4 years later, we'd get the first one: See No Evil, starring Kane, which actually was in theaters). He talked about their restaurant in Times Square and said it was horribly mismanaged. Vince also talked about creating some sort of service allowing fans to view their old video library, which would be a way to make some money off the vast video library they own, which includes WCW. And, if Vince has his way, the ECW library as well (12 years later, we'd finally get the WWE Network).
  • The next two big stories are recapping the latest UFC show (where Ricco Rodriguez beat Randy Couture to win the vacant UFC heavyweight title) and the latest PRIDE show which featured nothing notable other than Ryan Gracie breaking Shungo Oyama's arm in the main event. So on to the next...
  • Sports Illustrated wrote a story on WWE's decline over the past year. Before going into it, Dave wants to make clear that WWE is fine. Even if things were dire, they have enough cash reserves to last a long time. And even if Smackdown ratings decline, they're still the #1 show on UPN by a wide margin. And their TV contract with TNN is guaranteed for at least 3 more years. So have no fear, all the outrage over the gay wedding angle and the lesbians notwithstanding, WWE isn't on death's door. Of course, in a few years, if ratings continue to decline and the TV landscape keeps changing, who knows what kind of TV deal they'll be able to strike next. Then it might be time to worry. But for now, they're fine. The SI story claimed the wrestling business has never been in worse shape, which is not true. Even though WWE's revenue has declined by more than $30 million this year, it's still one of the most profitable years ever. Prior to 1998, WWE had never had anywhere close to a year like that. The 80s, which many considered the boom period of wrestling, wasn't even making 1/5 of that much revenue. And yet, in other ways, the story is correct. The wrestling business is in bad shape right now, with one company holding a monopoly in the U.S. which hurts everybody. Wrestling as a whole is absolutely declining in popularity at a staggering rate. Vince McMahon was asked for comment for the piece and his only response was, "Why is a sports magazine interested in an entertainment story?" Dave thinks that's pretty funny because a huge Sports Illustrated cover story on Hulk Hogan in 1985 is partially what put Hogan on the map as a mainstream star. (If you've never seen it before, here's the full Sports Illustrated story on Hulk Hogan from 1985. And yes, if you're curious, it does indeed feature several quotes from a 24-year-old wrestling journalist named Dave Meltzer).
READ: Sports Illustrated 1985 cover story on Hulk Hogan and WWF
  • The trial of Nicole Bass vs. WWE continued this week and has become a major headache for WWE since it's getting a lot of media publicity, especially in New York. Surprisingly, the biggest national news outlet to take Bass seriously was Fox News, which ran a big segment on the case and was one of the few not to mock Bass' appearance, saying that scripting sexual things for characters is fine but said WWE has no right to allow the exploitation and harassment to continue after the show is over. Anyway, as the trial continued, Vince McMahon continued to testify. Linda McMahon and Jim Ross were also both on call to testify, forcing both to sit in New York and miss company business. The biggest testimony this week came from Sable, who claimed that Vince promised to portray her on TV as a classy intellectual woman but instead turned her into, well....Sable. She said she left the company after she was asked to expose her breasts on television and participate in a lesbian storyline, both of which she refused to do. WWE lawyer Jerry McDevitt tore into Bass on the stand and reduced her to tears at one point, berating her about inconsistencies in her story and getting her to admit that her demand for $120 million in damages was excessive. Bass claimed that Shawn Michaels called her "mister" on Raw and she was horrified and embarrassed, but the other side argued that Bass' entire gimmick on Howard Stern's radio show (where she initially became famous) was based on the idea that they thought she was really a man. So that's where it stands now, the trial is still ongoing.
  • OVW's big Fall Brawl show took place a few weeks ago, featuring all the top WWE developmental names and OVW alums like Lesnar, Cena, Orton, Rico, and more working matches or appearing. Dave has seen the tape and decides it's a good time to give his opinion on WWE's current crop of developmental stars. Let's make these quick:
  • Charlie Haas - good athlete and does good moves, but not ready yet
  • Damaja - can talk, good size, but never seems to get WWE's interest
  • Lance Cade - looks like a young Barry Windham, young and can move but nothing about him that really grabs your attention otherwise
  • Kevin Fertig - just another big guy who's not very good right now
  • Travis Tomko - has an impressive look but also kinda looks like a low-rent version of Leviathan. Not good in the ring yet
  • Matt Morgan - from Tough Enough 2, very little experience, but great look and can move well. May have star potential but it'll be awhile
  • Sean O'Haire & Mark Jindrak - former WCW tag team champions, worse than ever. They've been taught a totally different style than what they were taught in WCW and neither of them is picking up on the WWE style at all.
  • Rob Conway - decent worker but doesn't stand out
  • Nick Dinsmore - also a good worker but doesn't have a look that will fit in with the WWE system
  • Shelton Benjamin - great athlete and picked up the basics almost as fast as Kurt Angle and has a lot of potential. Slowed by injuries and hasn't shown much growth in recent months. Will probably be on the main roster sooner than later
  • Jackie Gayda - has the star look WWE wants far more than anyone else in OVW (in other words, she's hot and stands out in a crowd). Hasn't wrestled since that match but Dave expects her to be back on TV sooner than later because of how she looks
  • Nova - people who remember his flashy matches from ECW would think he's gotten worse, but really he's just trying to learn the WWE style and he's just kinda average when it comes to that. He's also smaller than WWE usually likes
  • Doug Basham - good talker, good wrestler, probably the most well-rounded guy in OVW, but fairly generic look. Dave figures if they bring him up, he'll probably get lost in the shuffle
  • Bob Sapp will be making his wrestling debut for NJPW at the Tokyo Dome next week in a match against Manabu Nakanishi. Dave says it better be a quick squash win for Sapp (nope but it turned out okay).
  • Yuji Nagata got married this week, which is not the fun part of this story. NJPW actually filmed an angle at the wedding in which Masahiro Chono goaded him on in front of the guests, resulting in Nagata agreeing to put the IWGP title up against Kazuyuki Fujita at the Tokyo Dome.
  • The hype for this NJPW Tokyo Dome show is still mostly built around Chyna on TV. She did multiple promos and a match on their show this week. She's still using the pedigree as her finisher and pinned El Samurai with it in a tag match. She then did a promo vowing to beat up Hiroshi Tanahashi later in the show and called him too green to be in the ring with her. Then said at the Tokyo Dome, she's going to show her shoot fighting skills and break Chono's arm and then she beat up the interviewer. In another 6-person tag match, she did indeed do some mat wrestling with Tanahashi and it was actually good. Later in the match, they did some more high-flying stuff which was mistimed, but for the most part, Tanahashi was the only person in NJPW Dave has seen that was able to get anything halfway watchable out of working with Chyna. But all in all, this is a mess and Dave can't understand what NJPW is thinking.
  • Word is that Inoki's recent UFO-branded MMA/wrestling show at the Tokyo Dome was possibly the single biggest money losing show in history. If you recall, the crowd for that show was only about 5,000 paid, in a stadium that holds 55,000+. Dave has heard upwards of several millions of dollars were lost on this event.
  • Riki Choshu did an interview shitting on his former employer, NJPW. Choshu said he'd watched their recent TV shows and didn't like it. Said he didn't like Chyna wrestling with Tanahashi. He said he might could look past it if she was a good wrestler, but she's not, so he hates it and doesn't like the idea of men and women wrestling each other anyway. He also predicted the upcoming NJPW Tokyo Dome show would flop.
  • Pancrase legend Minoru Suzuki was scheduled to face NJPW star Kensuke Sasaki in a shoot fight at their upcoming event. But Sasaki isn't quite going to be healed up yet from a foot injury he's had, so instead, NJPW sent Jushin Liger to issue the challenge instead. The event is in November and will be Suzuki vs. Liger in what will be Liger's first ever shoot. Dave thinks this isn't going to go well for Liger (it does not. But it does come back around 18 years later and played a big role in Liger's last major feud).
  • Major League Wrestling's 2nd ever show took place in New York at the Manhattan Center, the old home of Raw. It featured Chris Candido vs. Terry Funk in a match where the crowd was brutal towards Tammy Sytch at ringside and she was said to be upset at how the fans treated her. And the main event of Satoshi Kojima winning the vacant MLW title over Jerry Lynn. This is actually on YouTube, enjoy!
WATCH: MLW's 2nd show - 2002
  • Regarding the big influx of money and company purchasing ownership in TNA, the deal still isn't finalized. But most in the company seem optimistic that it will be soon. If they don't close the deal soon, TNA's future doesn't look promising (yeah, this Panda Energy deal saved them. They weren't gonna survive 2002 if this hadn't worked out but it did, and now, 18 years later, they're still hanging on somehow).
  • The marketing firm TNA sued a few weeks back has filed a countersuit against TNA, claiming slander, libel, breach of contract, and more. Another graphic design company also sued TNA for $56,000 claiming they haven't been paid for designing company logos and other artwork. TNA and getting sued by people they owe money to, name a more iconic duo.
  • Notes from Raw: they spent half the episode taking shots at Monday Night Football, which came off pathetic. Trish vs. Victoria was not only the best WWE women's match in a long time, but really one of the best matches on Raw overall in quite some time. Kane beat Jericho for the IC title in a match that was pretty much a one-man show with Jericho single-handedly making this watchable. Pretty much that's it for notable stuff from this show.
  • Notes from Smackdown: probably the best WWE TV show of the year. Edge vs. Eddie Guerrero ladder match was incredible and one of the best matches of the year, with Eddie (the heel) even getting a standing ovation when it was over. Dave gives it 4.5 stars. And then there was Benoit vs. Mysterio vs. Angle in a triple threat that gets 4 stars. Dave really hopes one of these guys will break through the glass ceiling one of these days and start being treated on par with main eventers like Undertaker and Triple H.
  • Despite Hulk Hogan's recent claims on Bubba the Love Sponge's radio show that he has a handshake agreement only with WWE, that is, of course, not true. He does have a contract and it expires in February of 2003. Hogan only signed for one year, while Nash and Hall (who came in with him as the NWO) each signed 2-year deals. Most people expect Hogan back on TV around November since that's when his book comes out (that was the plan, but it doesn't happen that way. We'll get there). Anyway, Hogan could always go elsewhere and do other things when his deal expires, but realistically, there's nowhere else in wrestling where he can make the kind of money he demands other than WWE. The obvious way to bring him back is a feud with Lesnar, since that's who put him out. But they can't have Lesnar losing to Hogan and Hogan probably isn't gonna wanna come back just to get destroyed by Lesnar again, so they may just move on from that entirely (yup).
  • The movie "Helldorado" that Rock is filming in Hawaii is going to have a name change. No word on the new name yet, but the script isn't changing. Just the name. Rock plays a bounty hunter who is doing one last job. One might say he's running down someone...
  • Mike Awesome, Shawn Stasiak, and Horace Hogan were all released. They were unhappy with Awesome, feeling like he returned out of shape after being out with a knee injury. And Stasiak had been given a million chances but they finally decided he just doesn't have it. Horace Hogan never impressed in developmental. Dave thinks the writing is on the wall for David Flair soon too (yup).
  • WWE has had talks with Ultimo Dragon about him coming to WWE. Dragon is 36 and fresh off coming out of retirement. Dave saw his recent comeback match and he was better than most, but was still clearly limited. There's also the issue of his Toryumon promotion in Japan because if he signs with WWE, he'd be in America full time and it's kinda hard to run a Japanese promotion that way (yeah, he ends up turning control of the company over to someone else while he's gone and it eventually morphs into Dragon Gate).
  • Spanky (Brian Kendrick) will be getting a tryout at some upcoming WWE shows. Spanky has already verbally accepted a 3-year deal with Zero-One in Japan, but hadn't officially signed anything yet when WWE came calling. He was in their developmental system for years and WWE management never seemed to know he existed, but then he started making a name for himself on the indies and in Japan and now they're interested again. Dave assumes it would have to be a main roster offer because he's not going to turn down a 3-year deal in Japan to accept a $25k-per-year gig in OVW.
  • Dave off-handedly mentions that Bob Holly is out of action for now after getting dropped on his head by Lesnar on Smackdown. Yeah, turns out this was an extremely serious injury and broke Holly's neck. He was out for over a year. I'm sure Dave will have more details on it in coming issues, but yeah, it was nasty.
WATCH: Brock Lesnar breaks Bob Holly's neck
  • Terry Taylor has been trying to get back in WWE since WCW folded, but couldn't get a call back. He still has a lot of heat from his previous tenure in WWE. Refresher: after Vince Russo and Ed Ferrara left without notice and jumped ship to WCW, McMahon tried to get all the key backstage people to sign contracts that had non-competes that would prevent them from working for WCW if they were let go. Taylor refused to sign it and eventually left the company over it and went to WCW. Anyway, this week, John Laurinaitis went to bat for Taylor and finally he got a tryout to come in as an agent. He laid out the Rikishi vs. Chavo match on Smackdown but it went poorly and Vince ended up yelling at Taylor over a spot in the match he didn't like. So no word where things stand, but Taylor is not re-hired as of yet.
NEXT WEEK: examining the failure of the brand split, a look at the meteoric rise of Bob Sapp, Nicole Bass loses WWE lawsuit, and more...
submitted by daprice82 to SquaredCircle [link] [comments]

[Tue, Jan 26 2021] TL;DR — This is what you missed in the last 24 hours on Reddit

worldnews

Biden administration tells Russia to free Navalny and protesters in stark departure from Trump era
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Indian Billionaires see a 35% increase in their net worth during lockdown while 138 million poorest Indians go below poverty line
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Puerto Rico has declared a state of emergency over its deep-rooted problem of violence against women, creating new measures that activists have demanded for years to battle a deadly tide. The US territory sustains a high levels of violence that on average results in one woman's death per week
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news

Twitter account belonging to MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell suspended
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Son Tipped Off F.B.I. About His Father, Who Is Charged in Capitol Riot
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Two Virginia police officers suspended over role in Capitol riot
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science

People who jump-to-conclusions are more likely to make reasoning errors, to endorse conspiracy theories and to be overconfident despite poor performance. However, these "sloppy" thinkers can be taught to carry out more well-thought out decisions by slowing down and having some humility.
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Biomarkers in mother’s plasma predict a type of autism in offspring with 100% accuracy. It’s the first time that machine learning has been used to identify with 100% accuracy maternal autoantibody-related autism spectrum disorder-specific patterns as potential biomarkers of ASD risk.
Comments || Link
Baby tyrannosaurs were only the size of a Border Collie dog when they took their first steps, a team of palaeontologists has discovered. The creatures—which lived more than 70m years ago—were only about 3ft long when hatched, despite being able to grow to 40ft in length and weighing about 8 tonnes.
Comments || Link

space

You can send something to the Moon, for free! I'm creating a Lunar time capsule via Reddit - Sending up to 10mb of data to the Moon for up to 100,000 people!
Comments || Link
Six Star Solar System Discovered by Tess
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Biden's first 100 days: Investing in space infrastructure to spark economic recovery
Comments || Link

Futurology

President Biden will make entire 645k federal vehicle fleet US-made electric
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Biden wants to replace government fleet with electric vehicles
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UFC looks into Johns Hopkins study on psychedelic drugs as potential therapy for fighters
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AskReddit

What are some of dark events happened in history not many people know about?
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People who like but never comment, why?
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People from Alabama, how do you feel about the never ending jokes and memes of incest?
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todayilearned

TIL Larry Hillblom, the H of DHL, regularly took "sex safari" trips to Asia to prey on underage girls. When he died in a plane crash, 4 of the illegitimate children he fathered were able to claim $50 million each from his estate.
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TIL about practice babies. In the early to mid 1900s, orphaned babies were lent out to college home economics programs where they were taken care of entirely by groups of students in order to learn child-rearing skills.
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TIL buffets are called "vikings" in Japan. This is because a Japanese restaurant manager went to Sweden and liked smörgåsbords so much he copied the idea at his restaurant. This Swedish word was too hard to pronounce in Japanese, so the word "vikings" was used instead after a employee suggested it.
Comments || Link

dataisbeautiful

An app I made for visualizing country borders throughout history (2000 BC - 1994) [OC]
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Life expectancy by state in the U.S. [OC]
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COVID Testing Positivity % by County - 3/1/20 to 1/18/21 [OC]
Comments || Link

Cooking

After looking in an old cookbook I'm inspired to ask: what is the worst recipe you know?
Comments || Link
Nutella is best in glass jars
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How long do your nonstick pans last?
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food

[I ate] Steak and Chips with chimichurri sauce
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[Homemade] Ube Cronut
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[I ate] Dim Sum
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movies

Lovecraft Country Creator Misha Green to Write and Direct 'Tomb Raider' sequel
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Disney's Raya and the Last Dragon | Official Trailer
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Willem Dafoe Skewers Method Acting in Shadow of the Vampire
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Art

“M&M’s in a Jar” me, oil, 2021
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Girl with curly hair, Me, Soft Pastels, 2021
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Beach Blanket, Zouassi & Joy Masi, Photo, 2020
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television

Richard Lewis Will Not Appear in 'Curb Your Enthusiasm' Season 11
Comments || Link
Billy Crystal Shares Update On Pixar's Disney+ Sequel Series 'Monsters At Work' - "It's fantastic looking, it's hilarious, and we're having a lot of fun doing it."
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This Is How Michael Caine Speaks - The Trip - BBC Two
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pics

Patron saint of women who don't want to talk to you on public transit
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Went back to college last week. Been 13 years and am starting from square one. He goes nothing!
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America's oldest living WWII vet, 110y/o
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gifs

My hovering Delorean... has been HOVERING FOR 2 YEARS STRAIGHT!!! I still stare at it and it still hypnotizes me.
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World Record Hammer Throw.
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Wilbur sees snow for the first time
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educationalgifs

Visualising acoustic levitation standing wave with Schlieren optics
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mildlyinteresting

Road rules exception for KFC
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The way this dog is laying makes it look like a baby elephant.
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The way this wood split
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interestingasfuck

Kids remote learning during a polio outbreak in the 1940s. Teachers read lessons over the radio!
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The way this Fox realize the rope as opportunity
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3D cube illusion
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funny

Retail Weekend
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The condescending warning label on these snowboarding gloves
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Don't tell me about it
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aww

Tanner’s 15th birthday surprise - filet mignon. What a good boy!
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At least he tried his best
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All dog dads after getting a pet they didn't want
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Random Subreddit of the day: sportsbook

These are its 3 top posts of all time:
Betting on my kids little league baseball games?
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Donald Trump Not Winning Nobel Peace Prize
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New Series I’m Starting: OnlyFans Girls Betting Picks
Comments || Link
submitted by _call-me-al_ to RedditTLDR [link] [comments]

Who is Scott Borgenson? Profile from 2016 in “Institutional Investor”

(Note the connections)
CargoMetrics Cracks the Code on Shipping Data
Scott Borgerson and his team of quants at hedge fund firm CargoMetrics are using satellite intel on ships to identify mispriced securities.
By Fred R. Bleakley February 04, 2016
Link to article
One late afternoon last November, as a ping-pong game echoed through the floor at CargoMetrics Technologies’ Boston office, CEO Scott Borgerson was watching over the shoulder of Arturo Ramos, who’s responsible for developing investment strategies with astrophysicist Ronnie Hoogerwerf. At Ramos’s feet sat Helios, his brindle pit-bull-and-­greyhound mix. All three men were staring at a computer screen, tracking satellite signals from oil tankers sailing through the Strait of Malacca, the choke point between the Indian Ocean and the South China Sea where 40 percent of the world’s cargo trade moves by ship.
CargoMetrics, a start-up investment firm, is not your typical money manager or hedge fund. It was originally set up to supply information on cargo shipping to commodities traders, among others. Now it links satellite signals, historical shipping data and proprietary analytics for its own trading in commodities, currencies and equity index futures. There was an air of excitement in the office that day because the signals were continuing to show a slowdown in shipping that had earlier triggered the firm’s automated trading system to short West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures. Two days later the U.S. Department of Energy’s official report came out, confirming the firm’s hunch, and the oil futures market reacted accordingly.
“We nailed it for our biggest return of the year,” says Borgerson, who had reason to breathe more easily. His backers were watching closely. They include Blackstone Alternative Asset Management (BAAM), the world’s largest hedge fund allocator, and seven wealthy tech and business leaders. Among them: former Lotus Development Corp. CEO Jim Manzi, who also had a long career at IBM Corp.
Compelling these investors and Borgerson to pursue the shipping slice of the economy is the simple fact that in this era of globalization 50,000 ships carry 90 percent of the $18.5 trillion in annual world trade.
That’s no secret, of course, but Borgerson and CargoMetrics’ backers maintain that the firm is well ahead of any other investment manager in harnessing such information for a potential big advantage. It’s why Borgerson has kept the firm in stealth mode for years. In its earlier iteration, from 2011 to 2014, CargoMetrics was hidden in a back alley, above a restaurant. Now that he’s running an investment firm, Borgerson declines to name his investors unless, like Manzi and BAAM, they are willing to be identified.
“My vision is to map historically and in real time what’s really going on in economic supply and demand across the planet,” says the U.S. Coast Guard veteran, who prides himself and the CargoMetrics team on not being prototypical Wall Streeters. “The problem is enormous, but the potential reward is huge.”
According to Borgerson, CargoMetrics is building a “learning machine” that will be able to automatically profit from spotting any publicly traded security that is mispriced, using what he refers to as systematic fundamental macro strategies. He calls the firm a new breed of quantitative investment manager. In unguarded moments he sees himself as the Steve Jobs or Elon Musk of portfolio management.
Though his ambitions may sound audacious, one thing is certain: Borgerson doesn’t lack in self-confidence. Over the past six years, he has secretly and painstakingly built a firm heavy in Ph.D.s that can manage a database of hundreds of billions of historical shipping records, conduct trillions of calculations on hundreds of computer servers and systematically execute trades in 28 different commodities and currencies.
For his part, Borgerson seems an unlikely architect of such a serious, ambitious endeavor. Easygoing and fond of joking with his colleagues, he is a hands-off manager who credits CargoMetrics’ investment prowess to his team. His brand of humor comes through even when he’s detailing the series of challenges he had starting the firm. After using the phrase “It was hard” several times, he pauses and adds, “Did I mention it was hard?” Although Borgerson declines to provide any specifics about Cargo­Metrics’ portfolio, citing the advice of his lawyers, performance during the three years of live trading apparently has been strong enough to keep his backers confident and his team of physicists, software engineers and mathematicians in place. “Hopefully, it won’t be too long before we can make a more significant investment,” says BAAM CEO J. Tomilson Hill. Former Lotus CEO Manzi is optimistic about the firm’s prospects: “It has an unbelievable edge with its historical data.”
CargoMetrics was one of the first maritime data analytics companies to seize the potential of the global Automatic Identification System. Ships transmit AIS signals via very high frequency (VHF) radio to receiver devices on other ships or land. Since 2004, large vessels with gross tonnage of 300 or more are required to flash AIS positioning signals every few seconds to avoid collisions. That allows Cargo­Metrics to pay satellite companies for access to the signals gleaned from 500 miles above the water. The firm uses historical data to identify cargo and aggregation of cargo flow, and then applies sophisticated analysis of financial market correlations to identify buying and selling opportunities.
“We’re big-data junkies who could not have founded CargoMetrics without the radical breakthroughs of this golden age of technology,” Borgerson says. The revolution in cloud computing has been instrumental. CargoMetrics leverages the Amazon Web Services platform to run its analytics and algorithms on hundreds of computer servers at a fraction of the cost of owning and maintaining the hardware itself.
At his firm’s headquarters — where the lobby displays a series of colored semaphore signal flags that spell out the mathematical equation for the surface area of the earth —Borgerson leads the way to his server room. It’s the size of a closet; inside, a thick pipe carries all the data traffic and analytic formulas CargoMetrics needs. That computing power alone would have cost $30 million to $40 million, Manzi says.
CargoMetrics is pursuing a modern version of an age-old quest. Think of the Rothschild family’s use in the 19th century of carrier pigeons and couriers on horseback to bring news from the Napoleonic Wars to their traders in London, or, in the 1980s, oil trader Marc Rich’s use of satellite phones and binoculars for relaying oil tanker flow.
Other quant-focused Wall Street firms are latching onto the satellite ship-tracking data. But, Borgerson says, “I would bet my life on a stack of Bibles that no one in the world has the shipping database and analytics we have.” The reason he’s so convinced is that from late 2008 he was an early client of the satellite companies that had begun collecting data received from space and on land to build a large database of all the world’s vessel movements in one place.
That’s what caught Hill’s eye at Blackstone when he learned of Cargo­Metrics a few years ago. BAAM now has a managed account with the firm. “If anyone else tries to replicate what CargoMetrics has, they will be years behind [Borgerson] on data analytics,” Hill says. “We know that a number of hedge fund data scientists want his data.”
But too much reliance on big data can go wrong, say many academicians. “There is a huge amount of hype around big data,” observes Willy Shih, a professor of management practice at Harvard Business School. “Many people are saying, ‘Let the data speak; we don’t need theory or modeling.’ I argue that even with using new, massively parallel computing systems for modeling and simulation, some forces in nature and the economy are still too big and complex for computers to handle.”
Shih’s skepticism doesn’t go as far as to say the data challenge on global trade is too big a puzzle to solve. When informed of the Cargo­Metrics approach, he called it “very valid and creative. They just have to be careful not to throw away efforts to understand causality.”
Another big-data scholar, Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor of electrical engineering and computer science Samuel Madden, also urges caution. “What worries me is that models become trusted but then fail,” he explains. “You have to validate and revalidate.”
Borgerson grew up in Southeast Missouri, in a home on Rural Route 5 between Festus and Hematite. His father was a former Marine infantry officer and police official, and his mother a high school French and Spanish teacher. The family traveled 15 miles to Crystal City to attend Grace Presbyterian Church, which was central to young Borgerson’s upbringing: There he was a youth elder, became an Eagle Scout and received a God and Country Award. The church was across the street from the former home of NBA all-star and U.S. senator Bill Bradley, whose backboard Borgerson used for basketball practice.
When it came to choosing what to do after high school, Borgerson was torn between becoming a Presbyterian minister and accepting an appointment to the U.S. Coast Guard Academy or West Point. He went with the Coast Guard because, he says, “the humanitarian mission really appealed to me, and I had never been on a boat before.”
At the academy, in New London, Connecticut, Borgerson played NCAA tennis and was also a cutup, racking up demerits for such antics as placing a sailboat on the commandant of cadets’ front lawn and leading bar patrons in a rendition of “Semper Paratus,” the school’s theme song. Still, he graduated with honors and spent the next four years piloting a 367-foot cutter — which seized five tons of cocaine in the Caribbean — then captaining a patrol boat that saved 30 lives on search-and-rescue missions. From 2001 to 2003 the Coast Guard sent Borgerson to the Fletcher School at Tufts University to earn his master’s of arts in law and diplomacy. While at Tufts he volunteered at a Boston homeless shelter for military veterans and founded a Pet Pals therapy program for senior citizens.
Following graduation, from 2003 to 2006, Borgerson taught U.S. history, foreign policy, political geography and maritime studies at the Coast Guard Academy, and co-founded its Institute for Leadership. While there he would get up at 4:00 each morning to work on his Ph.D. thesis exploring U.S. port cities’ approaches to foreign policy. He would also travel to Boston to complete his course work at Tufts and meet with his adviser, John Curtis Perry.
Borgerson’s military allegiance runs deep. One weekend last fall he played football in a service academy alumni game. On another he attended the Army-Navy game. Still militarily fit at age 40, the 6-foot-5 Borgerson works out regularly at an inner-city gym aimed at helping youths find an alternative to gang violence; a few weeks ago he was there boxing with ex-convicts and lifting weights.
Leaving the Coast Guard was a hard decision for Borgerson, resulting in part from his frustration with the military bureaucracy’s stymieing of his bid to get back to sea for security missions. With his degrees in hand, he applied for a fellowship at the Council on Foreign Relations. During the application process he met Edward Morse, now global head of commodities research at Citigroup. Morse was on the CFR selection committee in 2007 and recommended Borgerson as a fellow.
Morse introduced Borgerson to commodities, and to trading terms like “contango” and “backwardation.” Morse himself had, earlier in career, gotten the jump on official oil supply data by hiring planes to take photos of the lid heights of oil tanks in Oklahoma’s Cushing field.
Working for the CFR in New York reconnected Borgerson with his Missouri roots. Bill Bradley’s aunt called the former senator to say: “The son of a family who went to our church in Crystal City is in New York. Would you welcome him?” Bradley did — and would later play a part in Borgerson’s career development.
While at the CFR, Borgerson became an expert on the melting of the North Pole ice cap, writing numerous published articles on its implications; this led him to co-found, with the president of Iceland, the Arctic Circle, a nonprofit designed to encourage discussion of the future of that region. Borgerson recently spoke to 50 international generals and admirals about the Arctic and is co-drafting a proposal for a treaty between the U.S. and Canada that would help resolve the differences the two countries have in allowing international ship and aircraft travel through the Northwest Passage.
His Arctic research led to an aha moment early in 2008, while he was still with the CFR, on a visit to Singapore and the Strait of Malacca with his Fletcher School classmate Rockford Weitz and their former Ph.D. adviser, Perry. Seeing the mass of ships sailing through the strait, Borgerson and Weitz decided to build a data analytics firm using satellite tracking of ships.
Like many successful entrepreneurs, the two struggled to find financing before reaching out to a network of friends and their contacts. One was Randy Beardsworth, who had sat with Borgerson at a 2007 Coast Guard Academy dinner, where Beards­worth, then the Coast Guard’s chief of law enforcement in Miami, was the guest speaker. Borgerson “made references to history and literature, and I thought, ‘Here is a sharp guy,’” recalls Beards­worth. “We have been friends ever since.”
But Borgerson didn’t turn to his new friend in his initial fund-raising. “He came to me in 2009, after he had been turned down by 17 VCs, was maxed out on his credit card, was married and had a newborn son,” says Beardsworth, who was reviewing the Department of Homeland Security as part of the Obama administration’s transition team. Beardsworth came to the rescue, not only committing to invest a small amount but introducing his friend to Doug Doan. A West Point graduate and Washington-­based angel investor, Doan took to Borgerson right away. “To be honest, it wasn’t his idea, it was Scott I invested in,” says Doan, who provided $100,000 in capital and introduced Borgerson to a few friends, who added $75,000. Manzi came on board as an investor in 2009, having been asked by Bradley to check out Borgerson’s plan for a data metrics firm. (Manzi knew Bradley from the late 1990s, when the latter was considering a run for U.S. president.)
With Doan, Doan’s friends and Manzi as investors, CargoMetrics was finally able to garner its first venture capital commitment in early 2010, from Boston-based Ascent Venture Partners. That gave the start-up the capital it needed to hire a bevy of data scientists to build an analytics platform that it could sell to commodity-trading houses and other commercial users. In 2011, CargoMetrics added Summerhill Venture Partners, a Toronto-based firm with a Boston office, to its investor roster, raising roughly $18 million from venture capital and angels for its data business.
By then Borgerson had already begun to contemplate converting CargoMetrics from an information provider into a money manager; he saw the potential to extract powerful trade signals from its technology rather than share it with other market participants for a fee. Among those he consulted was serial entrepreneur Peter Platzer, a friend of one of CargoMetrics’ original investors. Platzer, a physicist by training, had spent eight years as a quantitative hedge fund manager at Rohatyn Group and Deutsche Bank before co-founding Spire Global, a San Francisco–­based company that uses its own fleet of low-orbit satellites to track shipping, in 2012. “We had lengthy conversations on how to set up quant trading systems and how [commodities giant] Cargill had made a similar decision to set up its own in-house hedge fund to trade on the information it was gathering,” recalls Platzer. So Borgerson reset his course. Doan describes the decision as a “transformative moment” for the CargoMetrics co-founder. “The military trains you to be a strategic thinker,” Doan explains. “Scott had been tactical until then, making small pivots, and like a general who sees the theater of war, he moved into strategic mode.”
Borgerson’s ambition to succeed was in no small part fueled by the early turndowns by many venture capital firms and a fierce determination to best the Wall Street bunch at their own game. “There’s a lot that motivates me, including — if I’m honest — I have a big chip on my shoulder to beat the prep school, Ivy League, MBA crowd,” he says. “They’re bred to make money, but they’re not smarter than everyone else; they just have more patina and connections.” (Bred differently, he spent last Thanksgiving visiting his parents in rural Missouri. After breakfast he and his father were in the woods, shooting assault guns at posters of terrorists, with Gunny, his father’s Anatolian shepherd dog.)
Borgerson’s plan was not met with enthusiasm from the company’s then co-CEO, Weitz. CargoMetrics had been gaining clients and meeting its goals, and was on its way to becoming a successful data service provider. Weitz, who now is president of the Gloucester, Massachusetts–based Institute for Global Maritime Studies and an entrepreneur coach at Tufts’ Fletcher School, did not return e-mails or phone calls asking for comment. For his part, Borgerson says: “A ship cannot have two captains. The company simply matured and evolved into a streamlined management structure with one CEO instead of two.”
Eventually, Doan went along with Borgerson’s plan. “We believe in Scott and that shipping holds the no-shit, honest truth of what the economy is doing,” he says. But buying out the venture capital firms several years ahead of the usual exit time would require a hefty premium over what they had invested.
Once again Borgerson’s early supporters played a key role. Manzi, a fellow Fletcher School grad who had mentored Borgerson since the company’s early days, put up more money (making CargoMetrics one of his single largest investments) and introduced him to a powerful group of wealthy investors. Separately, the CFR’s Morse suggested that Borgerson meet with Daniel Freifeld, founder of Washington-based Callaway Capital Management and a former senior adviser on Eurasian energy at the U.S. Department of State. Impressed by Borgerson’s “intellectual honesty, vigor and more than four years of historical data,” Freifeld brought the idea to a billionaire third-party investor, who took his advice and became one of CargoMetrics’ largest backers. “I would not have suggested the investment if CargoMetrics had not done the hard part first,” adds Freifeld, declining to name the investor.
A chance encounter in the fall of 2012 gave the CargoMetrics team its first taste of real Wall Street trading. Attending an Arctic Imperative conference in Alaska, Borgerson met the CIO of a large investment firm, whom he declines to name. When Borgerson confided his ambition and that CargoMetrics had developed algorithms to trade on its shipping data once it was legally structured to do so, the CIO suggested CargoMetrics provide the analytical models for a separate portfolio the money manager would trade. Live trading using CargoMetrics’ models began in December 2012. Manzi brought in longtime banker Gerald Rosenfeld in 2013 to craft and negotiate the move to make CargoMetrics a limited liability investment firm. Rosenfeld acted in a personal role rather than in his position as vice chairman of Lazard and full-time professor and trustee of the New York University School of Law. The whole process took a year and a half. During that time Blackstone checked in as an investor.
Bradley, now an investment banker, has yet to invest in CargoMetrics, explaining that he is unfamiliar with quantitative investing. But he may eventually invest in Borgerson’s firm, he says, because “we are homeboys. I believe in him and that things are going to work out ” — pausing to add with a smile, “based on my vast quant experience, of course.”
Borgerson has been in stealth mode since CargoMetrics’ early days, when he moved the firm from an innovation lab near MIT because the shared space was too open. He is much more forthcoming when boasting of the firm’s “world-class talent.” The team includes astrophysicists, mathematicians, former hedge fund quants, electrical engineers, a trade lawyer and software developers. Hoogerwerf, who has a Ph.D. in astrophysics from the Netherlands’ Leiden University, built distributed technical environments for scientists and engineers at Microsoft Corp. Solomon Todesse, who works on quant investment strategies, was head of asset allocation at State Street Global Advisors. Aquil Abdullah, a team leader in the engineering group, was a software engineer in the high-performance-computing group at Microsoft. And senior investment strategist Charles Freifeld (Daniel’s father) has 40 years’ experience in futures and commodities markets, including nine with Boston-based commodity trading adviser firm AlphaMetrics Capital Management.
“All were self-made people; none were born with a silver spoon,” Borgerson notes. One of his blue-collar-­background hires was James (Jess) Scully, who joined as chief operating officer in 2011, after his employer Interactive Supercomputing was acquired by Microsoft.
“The team we built treasures team success, which is Scott’s motto,” Scully says. “We want shared resources, one P&L, not ‘How much money did my unit make?’” Both Scully and Borgerson say Cargo­Metrics is like the Golden State Warriors, a leading NBA basketball team known for putting aside personal glory and playing as a band of brothers having fun.
Borgerson says he fosters a no-ego policy with “lots of play because investment teams are built on trust, and playing together builds trust.” Team building at CargoMetrics includes pub crawls, picnics at Borgerson’s house, poker nights, volunteer work in a soup kitchen for the homeless, Red Sox games and visits to museums.
Trips to the Boston docks or Coast Guard base are intended to remind the CargoMetrics team of the real economy. There are also occasional “touch a tanker” days. On one visit to a tanker, everyone was amazed that the ship was the size of a city building, Borgerson says. “They could smell the salt on the deck,” he recalls. “Wall Street can lose sight of the real fundamentals in the world. I don’t want that to happen here.”
Unlike the Rothschilds 200 years ago, only a small percentage of the trades that CargoMetrics makes relate to beating official government data. Most simply are aimed at identifying mispricings in the market, using the firm’s real-time shipping data and proprietary algorithms.
At a whiteboard in his conference room, Borgerson sketches out CargoMetrics’ general formula. He draws a “maritime matrix” of three dynamic data sets: geography (Malacca, Brazil, Australia, China, Europe and the U.S.), metrics (ship counts, cargo mass and volume, ship speed and port congestion) and tradable factors (Brent crude versus WTI, as well as mining equities, commodity macro and Asian economic activity). Using satellite data with hundreds of millions of ship positions, CargoMetrics makes trillions of calculations to determine individual cargoes onboard the ships and then to aggregate the cargo flows and compare them with historical shipping data. All that leads to the final comparisons with historical financial market data to find mispricings. If CargoMetrics observes an appreciable decline in export shipping activity in South Africa, for example, its trading models will determine whether that is a significant early-warning sign by considering that information alongside other factors, such as interest rates. If Cargo­Metrics believes a decline in the rand is forthcoming, it might short it against a basket of other currencies. “This is like a heat map showing opportunity,” Borgerson says, noting that CargoMetrics is not trading physical commodities. “We are agnostic on whether to be long or short, and let the computers spot where there is a mispricing and liquidity in the markets.” He sums up his simple, but still less than revealing, process by writing on the whiteboard “Collect, Compute, Trade.”
Borgerson says CargoMetrics is building a systematic approach that will work even when cargo cannot be identified — on containerships, for instance. It already knows a large percentage of the daily imports and exports into and out of China and island economies such as Japan and Australia. And although the firm cannot glean from its calculations on satellite AIS data the type of cargo, such as iPhones from China, it can measure total flow, which shows present economic activity. Cargo­Metrics’ data scientists are working on linking such activity to the firm’s data set of the past seven years to measure the evolving global economy. That will lead, Borgerson maintains, to more trades on currencies and equity index futures and, eventually, trades on individual equities. “Uncorrelated” is a mantra of Borgerson and his team. Well aware that correlated assets sent the performance of most asset managers, including hedge funds, plunging in the financial crisis, CargoMetrics is determined to come up with an antidote. Careful not to say too much, Borgerson lays out the simple principle that the process starts with placing many bets among uncorrelated strategies in different asset classes, like commodities, currencies and equities.
The goal is diversification, staying as market neutral as possible and remaining sensitive to tail risk in different scenarios. CargoMetrics’ analytic models help find asset classes that are outliers. Those may include a publicly traded instrument such as oil, another commodity or an equity for which shipping information was a leading indicator during times when other asset classes marched in lockstep. The historical ship data is then blended with this new information to seek opportunities. Identifying mispriced spreads among different trades within an asset class is another way of avoiding the calamity of correlation. Borgerson says the firm’s models will find instances where one type of oil should be a short trade and another a long one. The same goes for whole asset classes — shorting one that will benefit if virtually all asset prices plunge and buying another that will rise when oil prices gain. “We’re counting cards with the goal of being right maybe 3 percent more than we are wrong, as a way of making profits during good times and staying afloat during times of sudden, unpredictable but far-reaching events,” Borgerson says. The key, he adds, “is to know your edge and spread your risk.” CargoMetrics’ uncorrelated approach worked during the dismal first three weeks of this year, says Borgerson. Dialing down risk as volatility in the markets soared, the firm was on track in January to have its best month since it began trading.
To improve the firm’s models, eight of its data scientists hold a weekly strategy meeting, nicknamed “the Shackleton Group” after the band of sailors shipwrecked in the Antarctic from 1914 to 1917. Hoogerwerf and Ramos co-lead the group. At one recent meeting they were deciding how much risk, including how much liquidity, there was in a possible strategy; reviewing whether to keep previous strategies; and assigning who would research new ones.
The Shackleton Group’s meetings are free-form, with a lot of “I’ve got an idea” interjections that disregard official roles. “We hit the restart button a lot,” says Ramos, a former director of business intelligence and a quantitative economist at law firm Dewey & LeBoeuf who joined CargoMetrics in late 2010. “That’s why our motto is ‘Never lose hope.’” A bet on oil, related to Russia’s production, was stopped at the last minute in 2014, when Russia invaded Ukraine. Some currency-trading strategies have been abandoned in theory or after failing. Strategies the Shackleton Group likes are passed on to the firm’s investment committee of Borgerson, Scully and Ramos for a final decision. CargoMetrics has a unique set of big-data challenges. Historical shipping patterns may not be as useful in the new global economy now that shipping freight prices are plunging, a sign that trade growth rates may be changing. And analysts point out how hard identifying oil cargo can be in certain locations and instances, even in more-­predictable economic times. “While it may be easy to say that ships leaving the Middle East Gulf are typically carrying crude oil, knowing the type of crude is sometimes quite difficult,” says Paulo Nery, senior director of Europe, Middle East and Asia oil for Genscape, a Louisville, Kentucky–based company that analyzes satellite tracking of ships. Borgerson maintains his team is well aware of the dangers of data mining and getting swamped by noise. “If you run computers hard enough, you can convince yourself of anything,” he says. To make sure CargoMetrics’ algorithms for identifying cargo are valid, the firm spot-checks manifest data filed at ports and imposes statistical confidence checks to guard against spurious correlations.
Getting the jump on official government statistics is likely to become tougher too thanks to the recently formed High-Level Group for the Modernization of Official Statistics. Although the U.S. is not a member, Canada is a key player helping to lead the mostly European nation group (including South Korea) in coming up with a global blueprint for measuring and reporting economic activity.
Reflecting on his journey to Wall Street — raising money, hiring employees with different skill sets, making changes to Cargo­Metrics’ culture, overcoming legal and regulatory hurdles — almost gives Borgerson second thoughts about whether he would do it again. “I’ve sailed ships through tropical storms, captured cocaine smugglers and testified before Congress [on his Arctic research],” he says, “but this was the hardest.”
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Flatten the Curve. Part 54. The Technocrats and their AI Garden of Eden. Possible Social Engineering Examples. IoT. Health Pass. ClearviewAI. GPAI. The Bounce. Pornhub Statistics. This is the longest two weeks of all time.

What's on your agenda for 2030? Have you made plans? Are you planning on making plans? Are your goals realistic? Are they inline with our approaching Not Normal New Normal online reality that the world wide WEB is going to offer become? Because nobody will own anything, anymore, ever again. All things will be a part of the WEB. Most of us won’t have to work because we won't have to make anyTHING in the IoT (Internet ofThings).
An IoT system consists of sensors/devices which “talk” to the cloud through some kind of connectivity. Once the data gets to the cloud, software processes it and then might decide to perform an action, such as sending an alert or automatically adjusting the sensors/devices without the need for the user. Oct 29, 2016.
IoT makes everyday objects 'smart' by enabling them to transmit data and automate tasks, without requiring any manual intervention. Essentially, any object that can be connected to the internet and controlled that way is a candidate for an IoT device.
And who will run the WEB? AI. It will capture trap data and make decisions about how to best apply that data. And we are data, and they have to analyze and interpret the data to know how to best use that data.
The benefits of IoT for apparel and accessories customers are huge, and most of them are linked to health. Smart sensors located in a shirt (see Hexoskin), for example, could track your heart-rate or temperature, while socks could measure your steps, calories consumed, amongst other data.
Ah. It's for our own good. Thank God. I was getting worried there for a second. Let's see how else it could be used for the betterment of society.
Along with advanced data analytics, IoT-enabled devices and sensors are helping us reduce air pollution in some of our world's biggest cities, improve agriculture and our food supply, and even detect and contain deadly viruses. Source Here
Reduce air pollution. Improve agriculture. And contain deadly viruses. Like now. See? If the IoT had been here soon enough, we wouldn't have to be living in isolation through a pandemic. This is why it's vitality important to implement certain measures that normally would be considered verboten, like a health pass.
Health Pass • The confidence to move forward. Health Pass by CLEAR gives employees and consumers the confidence and peace of mind to get back to work, shop at their favorite store, step into a restaurant and attend a ball game. For over 10 years, CLEAR has been the trusted industry leader for biometric identity and access. Now, no matter where you go, CLEAR's established platform can make everyday experiences easier and safer for everyone. Source Here
Are you CLEAR? Because if you aren't, you're a danger to society and then society's way forward won't be CLEAR. Society's future will remain in our distant past as we will have to remain socially distant, which will prevent the NOT NORMAL NEW NORMAL from becoming our BOT NORMAL NEW NORMAL. Just to be sure that we're all on the same page, there will be GATES to keep us cordoned until we can be CLEARed by an AI IoT system through the data in our clothes. And that's important, because we can't have Viruses running rampant and spreading, because a Virus is deadly when your living in an Information Based Economy. Do you have a CLEARVIEW of where this is headed yet? I bet you do, but let's be sure.
Clearview.ai • Clearview AI is a new research tool used by law enforcement agencies to identify perpetrators and victims of crimes. Clearview AI's technology has helped law enforcement track down hundreds of at-large criminals, including pedophiles, terrorists and sex traffickers. It is also used to help exonerate the innocent and identify the victims of crimes including child sex abuse and financial fraud. Using Clearview AI, law enforcement is able to catch the most dangerous criminals, solve the toughest cold cases and make communities safer, especially the most vulnerable among us.
The most vulnerable among us? Who are they? Right here, right now? Let's think, shall we?
The COVID-19 pandemic is impacting the global population in drastic ways. In many countries, older people are facing the most threats and challenges at this time. Although all age groups are at risk of contracting COVID-19, older people face significant risk of developing severe illness if they contract the disease due to physiological changes that come with ageing and potential underlying health conditions.
Voila! I feel safer, do you feel safer? Of course you do! Let's put on our face condoms masks and build a socially distant campfire and sing kumbaya and It's a AI Small World After All. Because after all is said and done, we all become old one day. And nobody wants to die before they have to. And think of the elderly. All the sacrifices that they've made for the younger generations! After all, whose going to make our fast food?
If you look closely when you walk into your favorite fast food restaurant or casual dining restaurant, you might notice something different. Where there used to be waiters and hostesses who had just learned to drive, these jobs are now being filled by a completely different demographic – senior citizens.
Thank you seniors! You truly are the greatest generation that has ever lived. Holding the lines while burger bombs and french fry grenades explode around you! Without you, who would make sure we received our fast food, fast?
April 19, 2019 • And more businesses are taking note. In fact, according to Gartner, “by 2020, 85 percent of customer interactions will be managed without a human.” Fast-food companies have heavily invested in automation, analytics and artificial intelligence technologies in recent years, and it’s fair to expect the trend to continue and expand as AI grows increasingly advanced and becomes more accessible.And more businesses are taking note. In fact, according to Gartner, “by 2020, 85 percent of customer interactions will be managed without a human.” Fast-food companies have heavily invested in automation, analytics and artificial intelligence technologies in recent years, and it’s fair to expect the trend to continue and expand as AI grows increasingly advanced and becomes more accessible. Source Here
Raise the praise for Ronald McDonald's Happy Meals! Now we can isolate the elderly and they don't have to work anymore! After all, should they really be working at their age? Aren't they kind of old, and, uhm, well, not to be impolite or rude, but aren't they getting a bit senile to be employed?
Nancy Pelosi Glitches • Source Here
Hillary Clinton Stumbles at 911 event • Source Here
Awkward moment Donald Trump forgets to sign executive order • Source Here
Joe Biden forgets Kamala Harris is Black Woman senator • Source Here
Those politicians sure are ACTING old, aren't they? Should they really be in charge of the most powerful nation on the planet? Maybe we should find an alternative, like an AI World Government • Source Here
Or maybe get a younger guy in there until AI is ready? Somebody like Andrew Yang. Somebody who wants UBI so that we don't starve when the robots take our jobs • Source Here
Health Pass to keep us alive. UBI to feed us. AI running the planet. Why, it almost looks like it was a well thought out plan, doesn't it? Like a chess game. Or a game of Go. So maybe we should jump into the Deep Blue and just AlphaGo and get a move on already? I can't speak for you, but I'm excited about not having a purpose in life. Sounds great, doesn't it? We can all be Comfortably Numb together!
Now. Do you have a Clearview yet? Maybe? Possibly? Or maybe you're unsure? On the fence. Stuck in the middle? Allow me to elucidate some more to convince the undecided.
MAGA. Make America Great Again. Great slogan, right? It really whips up the patriotism when you think of all of those jobs being brought back from China. Jobs for you. Except.
Forrester predicts that by 2025, technologies like robots, artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and automation will replace 7% (or 22.7 million) jobs in the US alone. Source Here
Repetitive tasks like factory work. Or Trucking and Parcel Delivery.
Long-Haul Trucking • I think we will see significant numbers of self-driving trucks in the next five to 10 years, even before self-driving cars. There is a significant shortage of people willing to drive the big rigs down the highway and significant price pressure on their wages. Just think, wouldn’t it be great if all the trucks would stay in one lane? It would be a huge win for the shipping companies and for the general public.
Delivery Services • Automation is best when it is a repetitive action. Restaurants already use automation to dispense your soda in the drive-through or fry up a batch of fries when more are needed. I see package delivery being automated at some point. Drones are already being tested to deliver packages—why not a self-driving truck with a drone to drop the package off at the door? Source Here
That's. A lot. Of jobs. Isn't it? Yes it is. But surely governments are only looking out for us, right? Surely they aren't in league with tech corporations who have a hidden in plain sight agenda being executed under a digital canopy of camouflage?
June 20, 2017 • Donald Trump called for “sweeping transformation of the federal government’s technology” during the first meeting of the American Technology Council, established by executive order last month. Eighteen of America’s leading technology executives – including Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, Apple CEO Tim Cook, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, and Eric Schmidt, the executive chairman of Google parent Alphabet – convened at the White House Monday for the summit. “Government needs to catch up with the technology revolution,” said Trump. “America should be the global leader in government technology just as we are in every other aspect, and we are going to start our big edge again in technology – such an important industry.” Source Here
I've spoken about this before: Big Tech and the Government is the same thing. Yes, yes, I know, they're gonna break them apart. Okie Dokie. Gotcha.
Google’s true origin partly lies in CIA and NSA research grants for mass surveillance • Source Here
Apple's SIRI • Apple’s digital virtual assistant started life as a DARPA project in the early 2000s, known as CALO – ostensibly an acronym for Cognitive Assistant that Learns and Organizes, but also a nod to the Latin word for a soldier’s servant. SOURCE HERE
Microsoft • THE MICROSOFT POLICE STATE: MASS SURVEILLANCE, FACIAL RECOGNITION, AND THE AZURE CLOUD • Microsoft helps police surveil and patrol communities through its own offerings and a network of partnerships — while its PR efforts obscure this. Source Here
Amazon • The Details About the CIA's Deal With Amazon • Source Here
Ok. They're pretty well in bed with each other. And with the IoT and 5G coming along, they'll be watching us in our beds, all the time. Here's hoping that we don't end up on Pornhub, right? Why it's almost like all that free porn is designed to make us used to the act of being recorded while we have sex. There are sure a lot of amateur recordings being uploaded, aren't there?
Let's look.
Categories viewed the longest in the U.S.—13 to 14 minutes: • Amateur (that is, not produced by commercial entities) Categories that gained the most views from 2016 to 2017: • Cuckold (men watching other men with their gals), up 72 percent. Source Here
Strange statistics, aren't they? They don't rank them up above, and there are others, so maybe they're blips. Aberrations? Not Normal.
The category with the greatest increase in traffic, 108 per cent, was 'amateur'Source Here
Nope. That's a Not Normal New Normal statistic for sure. But we're not being conditioned to being watched in an internet of things exhibition, are we?
This is coming (pardon the pun) and most people are asleep at the wheel. We're going to have a hard (sorry again) time convincing anyone that this is real. A really hard time (ok, ill stop). You see, whatever groups have came up with this have been at it for a long (not another pun, I swear) time. It's designed to make our lives easier and better. On paper. But. How can we trust any of it? This is uncharted water. And it wouldn't be the first time the scientists and the politicians haven't had our best intentions. Heck, it wouldn't even be the first time that they did have good intentions and ended up screwing (not a punhub pun) it up.
The short and simple version of what were seeing carried out before our eyes is this; the Garden of Eden.
November 15, 1997 • The latest entrant to the utopian ranks seems to be Freeman J. Dyson, the 73-year-old mathematician and former physicist, who is now a futurologist at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, N.J. Like the scientific utopians at this century's start, Mr. Dyson says technology provides the bridge to a heaven on earth. He conjures up a world where trees, not oil wells, produce fuel, where rural villages are the major source of wealth, and former slum dwellers are hooked up to the Internet. In his vision, new technologies pointed in the right direction could create such a poverty-free utopia, leapfrogging the dishearteningly slow efforts of the World Bank and other do-gooders to promote development. Source Here
Where rural villages are the major source of wealth? Hmmm.
Rich flee NYC, workers deal with COVID-19 • Source Here
Hollywood Apocalypse: The rich and famous are fleeing in droves • Source Here
That's quite the coincidence, isn't it?
What research into this holy trinity of solar energy, genetics and computers now needs, Mr. Dyson said, is ''a strong ethical push'' to get all three technologies working in tandem to create ''a socially just world.''
An ethical push. Like a Pandemic. Like now. So it's a great thing that the Great Reset was ready to go and we can Build Back Better because We're All In This New Normal Together and You're Either With Us Or Against Us.
Is this our future? Hooked up to AI to create a swarm intelligence? And maybe the bigger question is why? Because if you still think this is about money, you're wrong. Sorry, but you are. And even if you don't agree, don't come back in a year or two and say, I told you so. Why? Because this is a long game and if you want to understand better, look into game theory. There will be an upcoming post on this later.
So do we have a CLEARVIEW on AI yet?
Clearview AI cancels contract with RCMP, says it’s no longer offering its facial recognition tech in Canada. Clearview AI claims its solution has an advantage over competing facial recognition products because it has copied more than 3 billion images from the internet, including from social media platforms like Facebook, Instagram, Twitter and YouTube. Police forces use Clearview AI to compare images of unknown people — usually suspects — to this database for identification. In addition to questions about the legality of photo scraping for a commercial entity, Clearview AI apparently keeps images in its database even if someone deletes their image from a website. Source Here
Now here's the crux of the problem. Do they see all of this as necessary for the war over natural resources that seems to get closer everyday? Is the environment worse (as I suspect it is in this series) than they've told us, and do they think that we can't make it past without linking up to AI? And here's another thought, maybe AI can't work without us being hooked up to it? Because make no mistake about anybody associated with AI, they are all part of the same group. Here's looking at you Elon. I see you. Good cop. Bad cop. Problem. Reaction. Solution.
And what about MAGA? I kind of brought it up and left it hanging. Let's cut down the noose, shall we. Now remember, words matter. All words. Nothing is an accident at this point. Maybe humans couldn't come up with this intricate of a plan, but a supercomputer could have. Because I don't believe what I'm about to write is an accident.
MAGA • Make America Great Again.
MAGA • Microsoft Apple Google Amazon.
Trump opened the meeting with CEOs from **Google, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon and others by thanking Thiel for his support. “I want to add that I am here to help you folks do well. And you’re doing well right now and I’m very honored by the bounce. They’re all talking about the bounce. So right now everybody in this room has to like me, at least a little bit,” Trump said, perhaps in reference to the fact that he received little support from Silicon Valley during his campaign.
Doesn't that sound like Big Tech got him there? Thank you for the bounce? Really. And why did they thank Thiel for his support? Doesn't it seem off? Or is it just me? Am I suffering another delusional conspiracy moment? Is this apophenia? They are all connected to government after all. And government is putting it's full weight behind AI.
On February 11, 2019, President Trump signed Executive Order 13859 announcing the American AI Initiative — the United States’ national strategy on artificial intelligence. This strategy is a concerted effort to promote and protect national AI technology and innovation. The Initiative implements a whole-of-government strategy in collaboration and engagement with the private sector, academia, the public, and like-minded international partners.
Heck, every alliance country is on-board to be online for AI.
Canada and a dozen other countries have launched the Global Partnership on Artificial Intelligence (GPAI), Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced on Monday. “Today, as one of 13 founding members, Canada helped launch the Global Partnership on Artificial Intelligence,” Trudeau told reporters. In addition to Canada, the partnership includes Australia, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Mexico, New Zealand, South Korea, Singapore, the United Kingdom and the United States. Source Here
So we have all signed up to a Global Partnership on Artificial Intelligence. Ok. And now they're instituting health passes to be cleared for travel. OK. Now you don't think people will be going over all that health data, do you? And if you set off alarms? Then it'll be a good thing that a facial recognition AI will have a Clearview of where you've been and who you've infected. Just in case you don't have your phone. And you're wearing a mask. But is all this prep for the the future society so they can safeguard the AI system, or is it for something else? Because they're adamant that we're entering the age of pandemics, aren't they? And we're getting pretty antagonistic towards the east, aren't we? Or they are towards us, depending on your POV.
So is the health pass because of environmental collapse? Or is it to guard against bioweapons? Or is it both, with the added bonus of setting up a failsafe AI World Government? Remember, Gray War and Unrestricted Warfare tactics are all about keeping the enemy unbalanced. And so far, so good. And I hope that you're ready to settle in for the long haul, because U/pinkpolkagirl has it right with this post • MKULTRA
So just remember, we're all in this Not Normal New Normal together.
Heads up and eyes open. Talk again soon.
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Wrestling Observer Rewind ★ Apr. 4, 1988

Going through old issues of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter and posting highlights in my own words, continuing in the footsteps of daprice82. For anyone interested, I highly recommend signing up for the actual site at f4wonline and checking out the full archives.
• PREVIOUS •
1987
FUTURE YEARS ARCHIVE:
The Complete Observer Rewind Archive by daprice82
1-4-1988 1-11-1988 1-18-1988 1-25-1988
2-1-1988 2-8-1988 2-15-1988 2-22-1988
2-29-1988 3-7-1988 3-14-1988 3-21-1988
3-28-1988 * * *
  • ”This is horrible, Gorilla.” These words open the issue this week, because Wrestlemania IV is in the books and, well, it was not pretty. Dave is flabbergasted by how bad a show it was, wondering if this was a dream or a nightmare that he hasn’t woken up from. Wrestlemania III was the best wrestling production of all time. It may not have had the best card, but it was entertaining all around and the fans loved it. It set Vince up as the king of wrestling, all-powerful over the business. He’s still the king, but he’s definitely not all-powerful, and Crockett absolutely kicked Vince’s ass on March 27. Financials will take time to come in, and of course McMahon will win that measure, but we can flash back to January 24 for an analogue: The Royal Rumble won even though the Bunkhouse Finals made more money.
  • Preliminary info Dave has gotten from phoning cable companies and hearing from fans at closed-circuit site is that Wrestlemania interest was down by nearly half of last year’s. The buyrate for ppv could be as low as 6 percent, half of WWF’s expected 12% and still way down from last year’s 10.3%. Even so, the PPV gross would be $10.8 million, of which WWF can expect no more than $3.5 million, plus an estimated $2.3 million from a minimum 175,000 (last year had 375,000) at closed-circuit and a live gate of about $ million and an undisclosed site fee from Donald Trump for putting on the show. The early (and I mean early, don’t get attached to these numbers) overall estimate is a total gross of $14 million, with WWF netting maybe $6.5 million, a far cry from the $18 million they were predicting their take would be. How much was because Crockett ran the Clash? How much was because WWF just has been less interesting? It’s hard to say, but Crockett hurt McMahon way more than anyone could have anticipated.
  • As for the shows themselves, just absolute night and day between them. Crockett’s Clash was a really solid show. It wasn’t as polished a production and only had 30 minutes of wrestling in the first 90 minutes of the show, though this was to allow Sting/Flair to work without commercial breaks so it was an overall benefit. The matches, minus the barbed wire one, were all good. The crowd was into it. Two excellent matches. Probably best to never let Steve Williams talk again, though. The Jim Cornette and Eddie Haskel bit was great and made Bob Uecker and Gene Okerlund look worse than they were. Meanwhile, Wrestlemania made Starrcade 1987 look like Starrcade 1985, and that’s too nice to say even. WWF’s guys, rather than working harder because it was Wrestlemania, opted to phone it in instead because Wrestlemania itself would carry the day. Even Jesse Ventura had no good lines and coasted while Gorilla was like soundbites of his Wrestling Challenge commentary.
  • Anyway, Dave breaks down the major problems for WWF, as he sees them. 1) Hogan - he’s too over, to the point he overshadows everything else and by booking him as just one of the guys in the field, they completely devalued their star attraction. And instead of putting Randy over at the end, which they need to do if they’re going to try and have him be even close to as over as Hulk has been, they put Liz and Hulk over. “It’s like Randy can’t even order a taxi cab unless Liz tells Hulk to flag down the cab.” 2) Hindsight is always 20/20, but Trump Plaza was a terrible venue for a Wrestlemania, and the crowd just wasn’t a wrestling crowd, so they were not invested at all. 3) Steroids. Dave supposes he’s probably the most hated person in the world among the heavy steroid users in the business because of all the nicknames he gives them, but in all seriousness it was embarrassing to watch so many guys get blown up in a minute or two to where they couldn’t even pace out a five minute match. Like, take out the health issues, take out any sense of blame on the guys, Dave says. The tournament was embarrassing. It wasn’t funny to see the guys fail like this. It was just sad. 4) The tournament as a concept flopped. It gave fans no specific issue to focus on because belts in modern wrestling just don’t mean anything to fans - the real draw is the big personalities, and WWF proved it with this show: the only matches anyone cared about were the ones with Hogan and, to a lesser extent, DiBiase and Savage. 5) Spoilers. Too many people knew the outcome, and giving Savage the title is almost a mistake after you’ve given so many spoilers of your own show. ABC News did a report the morning after, saying “Randy Savage was the winner at Wrestlemania, but of course everyone knew it since the WWF magazine had printed the result three weeks ago. The WWF claims the magazine report was simply a typographical error.” Anyway, Dave is sick of people blaming him for their wrestling promotions not being able to draw fans at live shows when they aren’t interesting enough. Newsletter subscribers are maybe 0.002% of the viewing audience - if all Dave’s subscribers quit watching nobody would notice in the viewing numbers. Meanwhile, the fans who read newsletters are probably the most dedicated and put more money into the business than the “marks” do and will be the ones stubbornly holding on to the end if the business somehow were to die. So don’t blame Dave if your show sucks and your creative is bad and you give away your finish weeks ahead of time and don’t even bother changing it.
  • Anyway, Wrestlemania preliminary numbers time. About 540,000 homes on PPV, plus 195,000 through closed-circuit, as far as the U.S. goes. They did just 95 closed-circuit sites in the U.S., 39 of which had less than 2,000 capacity. No word on Crockett’s ratings, but if they hit a 5 on TBS that’s about 2 million homes.
  • So all that said, time to look at the Wrestlemania card. Good production, particularly the opening graphics, but not as far ahead of Crockett as last year now that they’ve upped their game. Battle royal started hot and quickly became your standard boring battle royal. The Hart/Badnews angle at the end saves the match from a dud and gets it half a star. DiBiase vs. Duggan was real slow for a five minute match, and Duggan no longer resembles the worker he was in UWF/Mid-South just a couple years ago. Very little heat. 1.5 stars. Muraco vs. Bravo gets half a star, and both were blown up by the double clothesline like they’d wrestled a hard 20 minutes, but the whole match was under 5. Valentine vs. Steamboat saw Valentine look tired and old, and just not have his famed longevity anymore. Good finish, solid work even with the timing issues. Steamboat coming out with his son and being able to be lost in the moment of just being a proud father was “a tremendous sight” for Dave. 2.25 stars. Savage vs. Reed got a pop for the finish but nothing else, really. 1 star. One Man Gang vs. Bam Bam Bigelow wasn’t good. It was obvious how bad Bigelow’s knee was, and that takes away his agility, which is the thing that sets him apart. Dave says this is a -1.5 star match in a vacuum, but considering Bam Bam’s condition he’s not going to rate it that low and calls it a dud instead. Rick Rude vs. Jake Roberts was a 15 minute draw and Dave hated it. He hated Rude’s tights, the many long rest holds, the fact that there just weren’t any moves in there to pop the crowd, and the fact that the crowd chanted boring. Worst match of the year candidate. -2 stars. Ultimate Warrior blew up before he entered the ring for his match with Hercules and the match was bad. -1.5 stars, and Dave says it was worse than Rude vs. Roberts, but gets a better rating for knowing when to be done quick and not overstaying its welcome like the other match did.
Watch: Cleanse your palate with Hogan’s weird promo from Wrestlemania about faultlines and Donald Trump caring about his family
  • Wrestlemania continued, because holy shit that was a really long paragraph and we needed an intermission. Round two saw Hogan and Andre go to a double disqualification to start off. Andre could barely stand by two and a half minutes in. Lots of shenanigans, Virgil took a nasty suplex on the floor where Hulk didn’t protect him at all, but there’s a glimmer of a future face push for him at least. Maybe his father’s a plumber, Dave quips. Half a star if you ignore the posing at the end (dud if you count the posing). But really, the crowd came to see Hogan pose. DiBiase vs. Muraco had no heat but decent action for its short stay. 1.5 stars. Savage vs. Valentine was good, well-paced with good action. 2.5 stars. Beefer vs. Honkytonk Man amazed Dave since neither was over at all when both usually are decently over. Sherri Martel made more noise than the entire audience. Loads of shenanigans, Beefer’s new haircut makes him look like a Davey Boy Smith with less wrestling ability, dud. Islanders and Heenan vs. Koko and the Bulldogs had some decent comedy and started okay, but got boring quick. 1.25 stars. Savage vs. One Man Gang was watchable but the finish sucked. Half a star. Demolition vs. Santana and Martel was solid throughout, although the crowd seemed on Demolition’s side. If the crowd had been responsive this would have been a really good match rather than just pretty good at 2.5 stars. DiBiase vs. Savage saw the crowd missing “two top-flight guys trying to work a good match” because they were watching the entrance waiting for Hogan. Savage sends Liz to get Hogan, Hogan evens the odds, Savage wins, Hogan must pose. 2.25 stars. Once round two started, the show was pretty decent, Dave thinks, just the first half of the show wasn’t RestholdMania, but Rigor Mortis Mania.
  • Over in Crockett Country, it’s a whole different story. They drew 6,000 fans to the Greensboro Coliseum, and all six thousand were champing at the bit for the show, which created a great energy that the wrestlers fed on for their matches. Rotunda retained the TV Title against Jimmy Garvin in the amateur rules match with a one-count pin, pinning Garvin a minute into the second round. 2.5 stars. The Midnight Express beat the Fantastics by DQ to retain the U.S. Tag Titles in a classic Memphis style brawl that was so action packed the cameras missed a lot of it. Dave gives them 4.25 stars, saying the action earned it 4.5, but the overused finish with the over the top rope throw and the referee reversing the decision lost it half a star, but then the post-match action with Corette lashing Bobby Fulton’s back with a belt got it back a quarter star. Dusty and the Road Warriors (the Rhode Warriors, I almost typed) beat Warlord and Barbarian and Ivan Koloff in a real short barbed wire match, and Dave notes the resemblance between Dudty wearing facepaint and a black t-shirt and Dump Matsumoto (with the notable difference that Dump is prettier). Ivan was bleeding after 20 seconds and Dusty after 90. Dave hates these matches - everyone gets all cautious and careful and stays in the center of the ring, so nothing really happens. 1 star. Luger and Barry Windham beat Arn and Tully for the NWA Tag Titles. Good match all around, 3.5 stars. Flair and Sting had a 45 minute draw for the NWA Title in a match of the year candidate. Slow pace to start, but the heat kept up and they weren’t dull and Flair sold the hell out of every rest hold. Jim Ross and Tony Schiavone did fantastic work on this, particularly Ross who sold the intensity and importance of the match, which was critical for the first half (if only he were still able to do that today). There were supposed to be three judges, but there were five people at the table, only two of them didn’t vote, so no idea what the point there was. Anyway, Patty Mullen (Penthouse Pet of the year and who had been on Ric’s arm the night before on tv) picked Flair. Gary Juster, former NWA promoter, voted for Sting. Sandy Scott then ruled it a draw, and nothing came of the judging gimmick which made it utterly pointless. 4.75 stars
Watch: Clash of the Champions. I’ve set it to start with the Steve Williams promo because it needs to be heard to be believed
  • During Clash of the Champions, after the first match, there was an ad on TBS for the WWF 900 number advertising play-by-play for Wrestlemania. WWF managed to get an ad on TBS during Crockett’s big special, and that’s hilarious. They also ran the first ad for the new Four Horsemen vitamins, which was hilarious but unintentionally so, and Dave thinks they aren’t going to sell a lot of those vitamins.
  • Last week Dave teased a big story, and it’s that Crockett has been negotiating with Ken Mantell of World Class Dave didn’t give any details beyond the tease last week because he was hoping to get more before press time. He promises to never note a major story the way he did again without giving more details up front, because he expected more details to break before he had to print copy but it didn’t. Anyway, negotiations have been ongoing for ten days and there are conflicting reports. Crockett’s goal is taking over World Class the way they did Florida, getting the valuable channel 11 time slot on Saturday nights in Dallas. They’re going to need Fritz on board to complete the deal, though. If it does go through, Kerry and Kevin will have guaranteed work and a push in the NWA, but neither really seems to want the travel, so they’d likely get a deal for local stuff and maybe occasional work in St. Louis. The bottom line everyone needs to consider, though, is that Mantell and Michael Hayes may be the most creative bookers anywhere right now, but they aren’t turning WCCW’s business around and it just may not work out that they can. Dave doesn’t expect a deal done now, but he thinks Mantell and Hayes may give themselves until May to see if their hard work will pay off before considering any offers.
  • An example of that creative booking is the WCCW title change on March 25 in Dallas. Hayes was at ringside with Kerry while Black Bart and Buddy Roberts were for Parsons. Iceman King Parsons is one of the least likely champions in wrestling history, and the match wasn’t particularly good, but the finish saw the lights go out after Terry Gordy came down, at which point Bart and Roberts used flashlights to blind the fans in the front row so nobody could see what happened. When the lights came back on, Kerry was knocked out in the ring, Hayes was bleeding on the floor, nobody knew who hit whom, and Parsons pinned Kerry to win the belt. They even had Kerry carted out on a stretcher. Dave doesn’t think (and actively prays against) Parsons will hold it for long. Hayes looks like the best prospect (nope. It’s going back to Kerry in May at the Von Erich Memorial Parade of Champions). Also, I just learned that King Parsons is his real legal name. I always thought combining Iceman and King was a weird combo of gimmicks, so that solves a mystery for me.
Watch: Iceman King Parsons wins the WCWA World Title
  • Eddie Gilbert is leaving Memphis to book for Continental beginning April 10. Continental’s business is bottoming out and it’ll be interesting to see if Gilbert and Missy can get things going there again like they did in Memphis. This also puts Memphis in some dire straits, since the Gilberts were basically all their storylines and they were drawing triple what they had been by giving the Gilberts such big spotlight, so they’re in trouble.
  • Lanny Poffo, brother of WWF Champion Randy Savage, has a book coming out called Wrestling with Rhyme. It’s a book of poetry coming out in late April and will be available at Walden Books. Man, I remember when Walden went out of business. It was a sad day for me.
  • The only news Dave has from Japan right now is that Bruiser Brody beat Jumbo Tsuruta for the International Title at Budokan Hall on March 27. Tenryu also retained his PWF Title against Hansen.
  • Roddy Piper’s latest project is a new film going into production called They Live.
Watch: They Live trailer
  • A correction on the Bruno Sammartino stuff. WWF isn’t trying to ban Bruno from using his name. They’re trying to ban him from using the trademarked nickname “The Living Legend” in contexts outside WWF. There’s a lot of talk about his radio interview , and some excerpts in the mail section of this issue.
  • There’s a film in the works about former Olympic and pro wrestler Chris Taylor. Taylor was a 450 lb wrestler from Iowa who won bronze in the 1972 Olympics and died in 1979. A book about him called “The Gentle Giant” is being adapted into a film, currently called “Lean On Me.” That does not wind up being the title, and I can’t find a movie based on him so this might have gotten scrapped. In other biopic news, no word from Hollywood on any upcoming Hulk Hogan movie.
  • WWF went up to the number 4 slot in the syndicated ratings for the week ending Feb. 28. They had a 10.6 rating, an increase on the previous week. Crockett’s network fell to number 9 with a 7.6.
  • Paul E. Dangerously firing Joe Pedicino, Gordon Solie, and Boni Blackstone on Pro Wrestling this Week aired this past weekend. It was fantastic stuff, and Paul has cemented himself as one of the top managers in the business. This is all part of a reformatting of the show to a 30 minute format with Pedicino and Patrick Schaeffer (who was the mastermind behind Global doing an IPO to build up a million dollars of operating capital) at the helm, with Schaeffer as the heel commentator.
  • Crockett had a big angle taped on March 21 that they aired this past Saturday, involving Magnum T.A. Magnum was doing an interview when Tully and J.J. came out, then Barry Windham came out and Tully popped Windham with a hit, then hit Magnum. J.J. was behind Magnum and helped Magnum gently go to ground, then Dusty barged in with a baseball bat and swung for the fences on Tully, then knocks out Jim Crockett without realizing who he’s swinging at when Jim and David Crockett and Rob Garner try to restore order. Jim Cornette did a tearful interview about his “good friend Jim Crockett” and Magnum even bladed, though that last didn’t make it to tv. Later on, Magnum came out and hit Tully with a bat in a match to cause a disqualification. Dave loved the concept here at first because you have to imagine Magnum hates being on the sidelines and wants to be involved to some extent and this gives him something to sink his teeth into. At the same time, “the idea of beating up a cripple, which unfortunately is the reality of the situation” is just kind of pathetic. That said, it’ll draw, and it’ll let Dusty (with Magnum in his corner) push himself as top star once again, and it may even be enough to put heat back on Dusty vs. Tully. Dusty will be suspended for 120 days come Saturday’s tv (taking us into July - will we see the Midnight Rider face Flair at the Bash, Dave wonders), Dusty will return as the Midnight Rider with Magnum at his side, and he’ll likely get the U.S. title in the tournament they’re going to hold in May.
Watch: Tully suckerpunches Magnum
  • The Oregon State Athletic Commission held a public hearing on March 18. Topics mostly stuck to safety concerns such as cleaning the mats, barriers at ringside, security, mats on the floor by ringside, etc. A lot of wrestlers were there, along with Billy Jack Haynes and Don and Barry Owen. Most of the wrestlers were negative about the Owens’ promotion, with only Tony Borne and Art Crews saying anything positive. Borne testified against the idea of using mats outside the ring, saying it’s not going to help as much as it hurts the visual effect of a spill to the floor. He also said the commission’s drug testing proposal went too far by including painkillers and marijuana on top of cocaine. The commission indicated they’ll be looking at action like the use of chairs in the future and potentially issuing fines. They also clarified their stance on blood: hardway is good, blading is bad. It’s pretty absurd to say that the more dangerous way of getting color is good but blading is bad, but this whole blood thing has become a thing for commissions around the country because blading sounds absolutely insane to people outside the industry, and even Dave has mixed feelings about it. On the one hand, blading is a minor safety issue at best, especially compared to rampant steroid and drug use and nasty bumps. On the other, Dave’s not sure fans are really drawn by excessive bleeding either, and probably actually turns off a large number of potential casual viewers. It doesn’t hurt if kept rare, but it doesn’t help if half the matches have it. And more dangerous to the wrestlers in a blood match than AIDS (they’re more likely to get that from outside activities) is scabies, which Owen’s wrestlers had an outbreak of not too far back. Rip Oliver said he’s gotten scabies four times since July and wound up giving it to his wife and kids on top of it. The outbreak led the Commission to pass a ruling against wrestlers working while they have communicable diseases and that they must notify promoters.
  • Eddie Gilbert vs. Jerry Lawler on March 21 drew 6,000 fans for Memphis. Gilbert won in what’s being hailed as a great match (and Dave’s heard their match the week before was even better). On tv on March 26 Gilbert acted like he was going to throw fire at Lance Russell, which got Lawler out from backstage in his first tv appearance in a month. They wound up brawling into the parking lot and Gilbert slammed Lawler on the hood of a car, shattering the windshield.
  • Scott Rechsteiner, using the ring name Scott Steiner, debuted as a babyface in Memphis recently. No mention of peaks or freaks yet.
  • Some random trivia about AWA Tag champ Paul Diamond. His real name is Tom Boric, and he was born in Winnipeg, you idiots, on May 11, 1961. He played soccer for the Tampa Bay Rowdies in the old North American Soccer League and was drafted sixth in the 1980 collegiate draft by the Calgary Boomers, before getting traded to Tampa in 1982. He stayed until the NASL folded, which is when he got into wrestling.
  • Anyway, Diamond and Tanaka won the belts because the Midnight Rockers wanted $500 a week guaranteed to stay and Verne doesn’t believe in guaranteed money. They don’t appear to have left yet.
  • [Continental] Looks like Eddie Gilbert is replacing Robert Fuller and going to be sole booker.
  • [USA] The other spinoff from the old Continental promotion ran its first big show in Knoxville, drawing a $10,000 gate. Previous sellouts there hit $27,000, to give an indication of relative value there. Not a lot to report about this. Moondog Spot is there as “The Dog.” He’s not a big dog. He’s not a little dog. He’s The Dog.
  • WCCW drew 1,700 on March 25 for their Dallas show, where Kerry dropped the title to Parsons. The other main event had Michael Hayes vs. Buddy Roberts, and Roberts kept trying to apologize for hitting Hayes, but Hayes wasn’t going to let it slide. Terry Gordy did a run in and broke things up, and told Hayes they sold Angel of Death’s contract so they can all be friends again. Hayes walked out on Gordy, though.
  • [WCCW] Fabulous Lance keeps getting booked for shows but hasn’t returned. His agent still doesn’t want him to be a heel because it’ll cut down his opportunities for tv and modeling work.
  • To illustrate how bad business is for World Class, here’s the biggest gate they drew out of three shows last week in Mississippi: $783.
  • A man named David Peschel of Washington, New Jersey is suing Randy Savage for a million dollars. He alleges that Savage punched and bodyslammed him when he got out of his car at a light to ask Savage for his autograph. He describes Savage as 6’4” and 280 lbs, prompting Dave to ask if this was maybe a different Randy Savage.
  • Rumor has it that Angelo Poffo put a $1 bet on the Wrestlemania tournament. Apparently, his bet was on Ted DiBiase.
  • According to a sumo journal in Japan, Futuhaguro is 99% certain he won’t go into pro wrestling. Koji Kitao will debut near the end of 1989 in the AWA, so I’ll put my dollar bet on the 1% chance.
  • Reader Mike Rodgers attended the Oregon commission hearing on March 18 and writes about his take. The commission is making big improvements to safety that he thinks are great, but thinks they’re overstepping by wanting to legitimately fine wrestlers who use foreign objects or chairs, and says they don’t understand “that promoters do what they can to fill up arenas.” Banning the blade but not blood is just going to increase the chance of legitimate injury, and it’s part of the proof that the commission really isn’t smart to what wrestling really is about.
  • We get a really long letter on Bruno’s radio interview. The writer taped the second hour and is hoping to get tape of the first hour. But before getting to the good stuff, he first wants to note that lying and silly gimmicks didn’t start in 1984 (was Gorilla Monsoon really from Manchuria? Didn’t Bruno employ gimmick wrestlers when he booked Pittsburgh? How about when he’d blade and claim to have spent the night hospitalized receiving transfusions) and that Bruno’s not really got a leg to stand on for “wrestling must be credible and it is an insult to the fans’ intelligence to lie to them.” Fans knew then just as they know now that it’s a work, but that doesn’t matter - you watch the show because it’s entertaining and you want to see the magician do their tricks. Also, the writer weighs in that the real story with the Main Event will be told by the demographic breakdown rather than the overall rating. In other words, is Hulk Hogan the Demo God? Anyway, after all this preamble, we finally get some quotes from the interview:
  • Bruno denies blading happened in his day but says “today, nothing would surprise me.”
  • Says he’ll never work for the NWA. “I wouldn’t touch it with a 50-foot pole.”
  • He breaks kayfabe on George Steele and says he’s been a teacher for years.
  • He thinks Bobby Heenan is a “dud and a disgrace” to wrestling.
  • He compliments Ric Flair as a guy who can give you an exciting 30 or 40 minute match, but the NWA “have an awful lot of bizarre nonsense in there that, to me, is no good.”
  • He says David wanted to be like him and he tried to warn David that these days they aren’t interested in “guys who just want to wrestle” but he’ll be going to Japan where they appreciate that better.
  • He didn’t like doing commentary. He just clocked in, did his job, and left as soon as he was done. He was very uncomfortable and unhappy doing it.
  • Bruno says WWF didn’t really have anything great to generate interest in the tournament for Wrestlemania.
  • A caller asks if his wrestling was all real, and Bruno says “Well, it was in my day, at least I thought it was.
  • We get a letter that feels so much like it could have been a post here on /SquaredCircle when Dave rated Omega/Okada 6 stars that I’m posting it in its entirety. Be warned, it is long, kind of racist, and absolutely bonkers, but that’s not unfamiliar around these parts. It gets the headline “Sick of praise for Japan.”
I get so sick of the way that people talk about Japanese wrestling. There’s no question it should be covered extensively in the Observer because it is a significant part of the wrestling world. However, when you start printing letters that criticize the American society and the jazz scene, then you are going way too far.
Anyone who thinks the Japanese never forsake quality for showmanship is full of it. The rock group KISS has enjoyed phenomenal success there because of their wild appearence [sic] and stage show. In fact, when they stopped wearing their makeup in the United States, they waited almost two years to do the same in Japan because they knew they wouldn’t be accepted there without it. And what about the movie industry? Do you think Godzilla movies are popular because of great acting?
As a student, I find teachers constantly comparing the American intelligence with that of the Japanese. I’m sure that the wrestlers love being compared to Japanese wrestlers as much as I love being compared to Japanese students. The Japanese do well at everything because they become obsessed with it. For them, it’s a matter of pride. If they screw up, it’s not only a mark on themselves but also on their entire family. You may think that’s great, but it puts a lot of pressure on everyone. They spend hours studying and I’m certain spend hours learning wrestling skills and have no time for themselves. Cut the North American wrestlers some slack. They’re just trying to make a living and preserve their bodies in the process. Look at what trying to wrestle like the Japanese did to Tommy Billington. Everyone would love matches filled with nothing but high spots, but working them is a great way to destroy yourself in a hurry. Now there is no excuse for total duds like Hulk Hogan and Andre the Giant either, but there are many non-Japanese who can hold their own without going crazy about it. I wonder how many Observer readers can honestly say that they work as hard at their own jobs as the Japanese in the same profession do. If they do, then I think they would quality [sic] as workaholics.
If there is anything wrong with our society, it’s the lack of national pride, which is so evident in the pages of the Observer. You seem to hate everything that wasn’t imported from the other side of the world. I have absolutely nothing against the country of Japan or Japanese wrestling, but I don’t think it’s up to a bunch of wrestling fans to dictate what’s wrong with our country just because they prefer the Oriental style of wrestling. I think the Observer is great, but I’d like to see you stick to writing about wrestling instead of how rotten our way of life is. I’m sure that’s what a Japanese journalist would do.
  • Anyway, Dave responds to that letter, giving the writer only 4 stars because it’s not in the literally-only-opened-a-couple-weeks-ago Tokyo Dome:
DM: Have I ever written about how rotten our quality of life is or done any cultural comparisons between the U.S. and Japan except to where it pertains to the wrestling business? If I lived in Japan and made a comparison of the quality of the football product and wrote the U.S. product was superior, I hope people wouldn’t take it as an indictment against an entire society.
  • Lastly, it’s about that time of year, I guess, because we have letters arguing about whether Dave should include GLOW coverage or not. Two letters this week on that theme, the first noting what the writer calls a progression in the letters calling for more coverage of women’s wrestling. First were the calls for more coverage of “conventional” women’s wrestling. Then the calls for GLOW coverage. Then POWW. Guess the next will be coverage of the apartment house wrestling scene, the writer supposes. The other writer claims to speak for 90% of subscribers and says Dave would offend that much of his readership if he covers GLOW and POWW and says that if you even consider GLOW to be pro wrestling, you’re incapable of understanding what makes a match good or not. This one asks if Dave’s going to be asked to cover mud wrestling next. There’s no misogyny problem in wrestling fandom. Move along. Nothing to see here.
  • Back to news, the Kentucky Athletic Commission has put up some new rules. There are to be guard rails around the ring now. Throwing an opponent over the top rope will result in a fine or suspension. Ditto for any referee who doesn’t immediately stop the match for it. The top rope rule is now state law, as insane as that sounds.
  • Dave should have national numbers next week, but in Atlanta Clash of the Champions drew an 11.7 rating, with the FlaiSting match hitting 14.5 National numbers will not be nearly that high, but hitting that 5 Dave mentioned earlier that would mean 2 million viewers doesn’t seem so far fetched anymore. Clash beat the NCAA tournament on the networks in Atlanta. TBS is reportedly looking to do another in prime time on a Wednesday early in the summer.
  • Stampede set up an angle where Johnny Smith (kayfabe Davey Boy’s cousin or brother or something) argued with Diana Hart Smith, which got Owen out to defend his sister. Davey Boy was supposed to come in after Wrestlemania to work with Johnny, but Vince put the kibosh on that. There were also considerations for some Stampede guys to participate in the Crockett Cup, but politics (Vince) made that a no-go. So it’s probably no coincidence that when Owen did the job for Hercules it was just outside Greensboro. Anyway, the real takeaway is that Owen is probably coming over to WWF by the end of the year.
NEXT WEEK: Clash vs. Wrestlemania poll results, Clash ratings and Wrestlemania buyrate, an assload of mini headlines because news is apparently thin next week, and more
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How similar are different basketball leagues? A preliminary exploration (over/unders)

So, if you're like me, you're pretty sad that the NBA season is over. It was a great season, with lots of money made, and now that it's gone you feel bored, and want to find new ways to increase the bankroll. And if you're like me, one of your first thoughts was to look at those world basketball games on your sportsbook, and to wonder if you could maybe try out your NBA strategies on world basketball games...
...and if you're like me, you probably lost a fair bit before you finally got fed up, said fuck the Lithuanian LMKL, and went back to waiting for NBA to start again.
But if you're like me, you still have an itching feeling that there's money to be made there, if only you could figure out how.

At first, the difficulty with world basketball seems to be a straightforward problem:

You don't have a good model for world basketball leagues.

But this has an easy enough solution, right? Just build a world basketball model! So that's what I did. (Not before losing another $100 on the Lithuanian LMKL, but let's not talk about that.) Over a week and a half, I collected a shitton of data on world basketball games and world basketball leagues and built a world basketball model, no NBA involved, and then let it ride.
Unfortunately, this led to the discovery of a second problem:

World basketball leagues are all very different.

A single world basketball model sucks, in other words. Any model of the full set of world leagues necessarily takes an average of extremely different statistical relationships, and as we know, there's no such thing as the average person, and no such thing as the average basketball league. Which means that this model was wrong, in one way or another, for almost every league I tried it on. (FUCKING LITHUANIAN LMKL.)
Obviously, the first-best solution is to have a model for every single basketball league around the world. You get enough data, then you build a model on every single league you can find.
But this leads, then, to the third and hardest problem:

There's not enough data to build a world basketball model for every single league.

Maybe this isn't true for everyone, but it's true for me. I've collected extensive data on hundreds of games and almost 60 leagues over the last few weeks, but the median number of games for a given league is still in the low single digits in my data, because there are just so many leagues out there, and data sources aren't great for all of them, at least as far as I've found. (Which is to say: if you know where to get good historical data on world leagues, hit me up!)
There's an inescapable tradeoff that you face, then, between sample size and goodness of fit: either you use a lot of games that aren't similar, to get a large enough sample size to build a robust model, or you use incredibly small samples to build 60ish models that are appropriate to each league, but are awful models due to the terrible ratio of signal to noise.

So what do we do?
A non-degenerate would say, "stop fucking gambling on Lithuanian basketball," I suppose.
But, being a degenerate, I say,

Develop an iterative clustering algorithm for optimally grouping world basketball leagues, build a separate model for each cluster, and then share your preliminary findings with Reddit

And here we are!
These results are incredibly preliminary — I have yet to bet with them, and I DO NOT advise you to — but I recently developed an algorithm that tries to optimally trade off between sample size and goodness of fit by iteratively clustering basketball leagues, allowing the model to make use of the data from leagues that it's algorithmically inferred to be similar, but without forcing it to reconcile truly irreconcilable statistical patterns.
Now, first, a series of caveats:
- Right now, I only build models for live oveunders. So these similarities only correspond to how similar leagues are in terms of modeling live oveunder bets. They are NOT evidence of similarity in other respects.
- My sample sizes are still VERY SMALL! Most of the leagues here only have a few games in my dataset, which is why I'm using this clustering algorithm, but it's also why you shouldn't put much, if any, stock into these early-early findings. If you're going to make any inferences, broad conclusions are more likely to be valid than any specific assumptions about a particular league.
- Again, don't bet with this! I think it's interesting enough to share, but it is NOT robust enough to gamble on. (The one exception might be the CBA; when testing my NBA model in mid-July, I previously confirmed that NBA-based models (at least, those built according to my style) can perform OK on the CBA, so you can take that how you will.)
So, without further ado, if anyone's still reading this far down — my model identified four clusters in the leagues that I have data on, grouped as follows:

Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4
Portugal - LPB Nicaragua - Nicaragua Championship Egypt - Premier League Russia - Superleague
France - LNB International - VTB United League Youth Uruguay - 2nd Division International - WABA League Women
Spain - LEB Oro Australia - QSL France - Division 3 Brazil - FPB Paulista League Men
Basketball - CBA International - ABA League Estonia - Estonia Liga 1 Finland - Finland Division 1A
Italy - Italy Serie A1 Women South Korea - KBL Czech Republic - NBL Hungary - Hungary NB I. A Women
Finland - Korisliiga W Mexico - LNBP International - Club Friendlies Philippines - PBA Philippine Cup
Sweden - Sweden Basketligan Women Basketball - Eurocup France - Pro B
Japan - WJBL Women Turkey - Turkey Super Ligi France - Coupe de France
Bulgaria - NBL Japan - Japan B League Denmark - Denmark Basketligaen
Czech Republic - ZBL W Nicaragua - Championship Turkey - Federation Cup
France - LFB Women Lithuania - LKL
Russia - Premier League Women Basketball - Euroleague
Italy - Serie A Poland - Energa Basket Liga
Czech Republic - 1. Liga Brazil - Brazil Paulista Women
Turkey - Super Lig Women
Croatia - A1 Liga
Chinese Taipei - Super Basketball League
Poland - 1 Liga
Russia - Russian Cup
Lithuania - LMKL
Portugal - Portuguese Cup
Netherlands - DBL
Spain - Liga Endesa
Japan - Japan B League Division 2
Some random statistics:
Goodness-of-fit (i.e. how easy is it for my model to explain live O/U for these leagues?) 48.675 45.663 44.836 44.897
Distance from this cluster's model and my NBA model (i.e. how different are these leagues from the NBA, according to one simple measure?) 0.0370 0.0851 0.4708 0.1980
Would you recommend betting on this league? No. Maybe eventually, but no. Definitely not. No. No.

Now, there aren't really that many takeaways here; mainly, this is the beginning of a process, and I expect both the process to improve as I work on it more and as I collect more data. But we can start to make out some glimmers of how to bet on world basketball in the future from here: the leftmost column suggests that there do exist a small subset of world leagues where basketball is more similar to the NBA, and that these leagues are easier to model, even though this isn't enough evidence to show that these particular leagues are the "good ones" or not. Also, gender appears to matter a lot in groupings. Women's leagues are far more common in groups 1 and 2, which my model finds to be far more predictable, and group 3, the hardest group of leagues to model, is almost entirely men's leagues. That group is also the most dissimilar to the NBA, apparently. Finally, it doesn't seem like nationality matters that much; we see a lot of leagues from the same country in rather different groups.
But a LOT of these categorizations are because I just have extremely limited data on these leagues, and the games that I do have just happened to be similar in certain ways that my model likes. So even these limited conclusions may change.
If you guys are interested, I'd be happy to update this more in later weeks, as I collect more data and get better estimates of how to cluster world basketball games. And regardless, for those of you who made it this far down, thanks for reading!
-Abe

submitted by Abe738 to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Wrestling Observer Rewind ★ Jun. 17, 2002

Going through old issues of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter and posting highlights in my own words. For anyone interested, I highly recommend signing up for the actual site at f4wonline and checking out the full archives.
PREVIOUSLY:
1-7-2002 1-14-2002 1-21-2002 1-28-2002
2-4-2002 2-11-2002 2-18-2002 2-25-2002
3-4-2002 3-11-2002 3-18-2002 3-25-2002
4-1-2002 4-8-2002 4-15-2002 4-22-2002
4-29-2002 5-6-2002 5-13-2002 5-20-2002
5-27-2002 6-3-2002 6-10-2002

PROGRAMMING NOTE: Some of you may have missed last week's post because I didn't do it on Wednesday. Ended up posting it Thursday instead, so it's there in the archives below if you missed it. I know this 2002 series of Rewinds doesn't really have the momentum or appeal that it had back when I was posting them 3 times a week for years on end. Sorry about that, like I said before, I just decided to post these on a whim when the virus started and didn't really prepare for it so it's all kinda haphazard. But just didn't want anyone to miss the one from last week if it flew under the radar.

  • Steve Austin walked out of WWE this week and threw everything into upheaval. As a result, Raw featured Vince McMahon challenging Ric Flair to a match for ownership of the entire company. It was the ultimate final blow-off to a huge long-term angle, and they did it with only 2 hours of build-up. With Vince now in charge of both shows, questions are swirling about whether this spells the end of the brand split, only a few months in. The reason this all happened is because, only 6 hours before Raw went on the air, Steve Austin showed up to the arena and found out he was scheduled to wrestle (and Dave thinks put over, though he hasn't confirmed that yet) Brock Lesner. Dave immediately points out the obvious, that an Austin vs. Lesnar match is something you should build up ahead of time, not throw it on free TV with no build up at all. Plus, he's still so new, he's incredibly green, and he's spent the last few months selling way too much for people like the Hardyz and Bubba Ray Dudley. Hell, before he debuted in WWE, he wasn't even the most over guy in OVW. He's nowhere near the level you'd expect for him to be winning matches with Steve Austin un-hyped on free TV. In fact, Lesnar should probably go through just about everyone else on the roster before putting him against Austin. That's a potential Wrestlemania-level match and Dave seems befuddled that they would just book it for Raw like this.
  • Apparently Austin felt the same way because he and his wife Debra left the building and flew home before Vince McMahon even arrived to the arena, the second time since Wrestlemania that he has walked out on the company. A source who was there when McMahon learned of the news said that, for the first time anyone could remember, Vince seemed to drop his "game face" and there seemed to be genuine panic about what to do. Rock has one foot out the door to Hollywood. Undertaker and Triple H are banged up and won't be around forever (bet). Business is already collapsing. And now the biggest star the company's ever had just walked out the door. Last time Austin walked out after Wrestlemania, he was only away for 2 weeks. This time, there's a feeling it could be much longer. Those close to Austin say he's been unhappy for months and this decision wasn't anything specifically to do with the Lesnar match. That just happened to be the final straw. Austin made news last week when he went on the WWE's Byte This show and voiced his frustrations with the company's creative direction. Plans had been put into motion over the last couple weeks for Austin to feud with Eddie Guerrero and then Chris Benoit, which he was happy about (he was enjoying his recent house show matches with Eddie and Benoit is one of Austin's favorite opponents) but that's out the window now. Austin and Vince McMahon reportedly haven't been on good terms for several months now and word is the night before Raw, the two of them had a very heated conversation over the phone that left Austin pissed off and frustrated even before this went down.
  • And that's the deal on Austin. He has more money than he'll ever be able to spend and doesn't have any financial need to wrestle. He only does so because he enjoys it. And if he doesn't enjoy it anymore, then by all means, it's his right to leave and he doesn't owe the business anything if he wants to hang up the boots. But Dave does feel like Austin owes WWE at least a few weeks to write him out of storylines since he's such an important piece of the company. Walking out from a live TV taping is unprofessional and it leaves guys like Guerrero and Benoit left hanging, thus screwing up their future plans and money-making potential too (yeah, that's something that doesn't get talked about much. Austin walking out fucked Guerrero over pretty hard here. It would take him another 2 years to get back into that main event scene that he would have been involved in here). That being said, pretty much everyone in the locker room sympathizes with Austin and agrees with his complaints about the creative direction of the company, but not many of them were defending the way he walked out. And given that this is the second time he's done it, the feeling is he shouldn't be allowed back without facing some actual punishment this time.
  • So anyway, the day of Raw, they went into panic mode and had to re-write the entire show. And with the feeling Austin won't be coming back anytime soon, Vince felt they needed to do something big. So they went with blowing off the dual-owners angle in a match that was designed to turn Flair babyface again and establish Vince as the heel owner of everything. There was also discussion of turning Undertaker babyface again, since he's been getting more cheers than RVD when they work together at house shows lately but they decided against that for now (they end up doing it in a couple weeks). So now Flair has been abruptly turned back, after only turning heel a few weeks prior. The brand split may or may not be dead. And there we stand.
  • In what would have been a major story during any other week, DDP has officially retired from wrestling at age 46. Unfortunately, Austin's walk-out overshadowed everything. The decision on DDP's retirement was actually made by Vince McMahon and Jim Ross, who pretty much made the choice for him after they got his medical reports. DDP has been advised by multiple doctors that his spine is shot and he needs to retire. For the company's own liability, WWE decided to listen to the doctors and DDP agreed. There has been talk of finding ways for DDP to work the remainder of his contract for the company in a non-wrestling capacity. (He obviously ends up wrestling a handful of matches in the years since, but for the most part, this really was the end of DDP's in-ring career as a full-time wrestler).
  • There were a couple of moments on Raw this week where Shawn Michaels was cutting a promo and made a comment about Austin "losing his top spot" and another comment later about Rock "stealing Triple H's spot." A lot of people in the company backstage were upset, feeling like this was the same ol' Shawn, going into business for himself and trashing on Austin and Rock and yada yada. Not the case. Those comments were actually scripted for Shawn to say because they want to get over the idea that Shawn on the mic is a loose cannon and you never know when he might start "shooting" and say something he's not supposed to. It's all very dumb, you see. Almost like Vince Russo is coming back any day now or something.
  • Dave gives a big preview and rundown of the Jarrett family's new NWA-TNA promotion, which has its debut show next week on PPV. Not all cable systems are carrying it, however. Cablevision and Dish Network both declined to carry it, but DirecTV is. This cuts down on the number of available homes for the show and probably cuts 20-30% off their potential revenue. The main PPV provider in Canada, Viewer's Choice, has also declined to carry it. Steep mountain to climb here. Dave expects them to do decent numbers for their first show but predicts an XFL-like collapse after that. By week 3, Dave is scared for their chances. From here, Dave gives the whole history of other promotions who've tried to make it on PPV in the U.S., with varying degrees of success and failure. UWFI, UFC, ECW, WCW, PRIDE, etc, WWF has even toyed with similar ideas. In 1991, they did the one-off Tuesday In Texas PPV as a test to see if they could run PPVs back-to-back (Survivor Series was only the week prior) and it was a flop. The original concept for Shotgun Saturday Night was for it to be a weekly Saturday night PPV with a similar >$10 price point, but that idea got scrapped before it got off the ground and it became just another TV show. Dave doesn't think TNA is going to make it without a TV deal. This PPV exclusive plan just has too much working against it. The Jarretts have talked about the millions of disenfranchised fans that stopped watching after WCW died, and it's true. Those people are out there. But those millions of fans all checked out between 1999-2001, and TNA isn't going to win them back by using the same people and the same concepts that ran those viewers away from WCW. All your wacky booking ideas, your Vince Russos, your Jeff Jarretts as champion, bringing in guys that even WWE won't touch (Scott Hall), etc. Those are all the same things that ran away those WCW viewers. Dave just doesn't see how this experiment can work in its current form.
  • Vince McMahon himself was the latest guest on WWE's Byte This show and needless to say, it was interesting. Vince denied the idea that the wrestling business is "cyclical" and said it's more like a series of peaks and valleys that have slowly been trending upwards over the years. Vince also admitted WWE doesn't always make the best decisions but says their batting average is good overall. Vince also said he's proud to have the word "wrestling" in their company name, which is a pretty big about-face from all the years he's tried to publicly claim they were "sports entertainment, not wrestling." He admitted things are rough right now but said there are huge changes coming soon that will change the entire industry but wouldn't elaborate on what he had planned (I think time has proven that the answer to this was nothing whatsoever. They had no idea what they were doing during this time and were just making shit up as they went along). Vince acknowledged that Austin has been frustrated lately and said Austin is the most demanding of all the wrestlers in WWE. Vince also said he pays no attention to the internet because everyone thinks they're a booker. He also complained that it's hard to live up to people's expectations because fans all think they know everything now. Acknowledged ratings being down and played it off like, yes, WWE is sick. But it's only a cold, not pneumonia or anything, so don't panic.
  • More notes from Vince on Byte This because huge unbroken paragraphs suck: he hinted at producing movies starring WWE talent. Dave thinks that's a bad idea. "No Holds Barred," anyone? Criticized backyard wrestling, which Dave actually agrees with him 100% on. Was asked about bringing Vince Russo back and said he hasn't given it any thought but he has an open door policy (see you next week, Russo! Jeez, it almost makes you wonder if Vince got the idea from this interview or something). When asked about the recent Jim Cornette/Ed Ferrara incident, Vince basically seemed disinterested but said he admires Cornette's passion for wrestling but felt spitting in Ferrara's face was unprofessional. When asked about NWA-TNA, Vince said he didn't understand how they could do it without television. Trying to get people to pay $9.95 a week for a 2 hour show (a minor league product at that, because anything other than WWE is basically minor leagues at this point), when they already get Raw and Smackdown on free television. Otherwise, he said he has no opinions on it because he hasn't seen it, but Vince seems to share Dave's opinion. He doesn't see this PPV model as sustainable and doesn't seem particularly threatened by it.
  • NJPW's latest Best of the Super Juniors tournament is in the books and was a disappointment, just like everything else in NJPW lately. Koji Kanemoto won a pretty boring tournament. There was only one new name involved, which was Michinoku Pro wrestler Curry Man (Christopher Daniels under a mask). He's talented and charismatic but he's not even that big a star in Michinoku Pro, much less to the NJPW audience. Otherwise, it was more of the same, with no real notable matches.
  • Zero-1 in Japan is hoping to put together a working relationship with NWA-TNA. Specifically, they're hoping they can do a Shinya Hashimoto vs. Ken Shamrock feud, perhaps over the NWA title.
  • While training for his comeback, Kenta Kobashi messed up his shoulder doing bench presses, because of course he did. Doctors have told him not to return too soon but he still plans to be back in the ring by next month. Because of course he does.
  • NJPW's latest show at Budokan Hall was a disaster. From photos Dave saw, he figures there couldn't have been more than 3,500 fans in the building. Even at its weakest after the NOAH exodus, AJPW never fell below 7,000 at Budokan and this show looked to be half that. It's likely the smallest crowd NJPW has ever drawn to that arena. The whole show was said to be terrible because of the depressing atmosphere of a building that was 2/3 empty.
  • This week's World Cup game between Japan and Russia did a 66.1 TV rating, making it the #2 highest rated sports broadcast in the history of Japan. This is notable because by doing so, it surpassed the Rikidozan vs. Destroyer match from 1963, which did a 64.0 rating, knocking it down to #3 (for what it's worth, it's believed that a Rikidozan vs. Lou Thesz match in 1957 was actually watched by even more people, but official ratings weren't kept as detailed back then, so it can't be counted for sure).
  • Dave has read some excerpts from the new Shaun Assael book on Vince McMahon called "Sex, Lies, and Headlocks." From what he's read, Dave says it's a very good and accurate portrayal of how the WWE has grown to what it is today. Vince's former close friend and VP of Titan Sports during the expansion era Jim Troy and Jim Barnett were both interviewed for it, among others. If you're a hardcore fan who's been following the Observer for years, there's nothing new here that you probably don't already know from a major story standpoint, but there's some interesting details at least that were new to Dave. But to the average fan, this should be pretty eye-opening. Dave expects to have a full review soon.
  • CZW held its second annual Best of the Best tournament at the old ECW Arena and the show got rave reviews. Particularly British wrestlers Jodie Fleisch and Jonny Storm, who tore the house down in their match. Trent Acid defeated Fleisch to win the tournament.
  • The Coen brothers, producers of the movie "Fargo", have had talks with Bobby Heenan about doing a movie based on his life (this pretty obviously went nowhere).
  • New Jack is no longer working with XPW and has jumped ship to work with a rival local promoter in Southern California. Perhaps not coincidentally, the last check New Jack received from XPW promoter Rob Black for $800 ended up bouncing. Dave says New Jack probably isn't the guy you want to write bad checks to.
  • NWA-TNA has changed its taping plans and no longer plans to tour, and they will now be live every week. The first two shows will be taped this week in Huntsville and after that, all future shows will be live from Nashville at the 9,000-seat Municipal Auditorium. Apparently the rent for that building is really cheap because a newer, more modern arena was just built nearby, so TNA can afford it. That being said, with as much trouble as they're having selling tickets for the debut show in Huntsville, Dave thinks it's pretty optimistic to start trying to run live tapings in the same 9,000-seat building every week. He thinks they would be much better off running a small 800-seat building every week, with a smaller, more intimate atmosphere that would come across a lot better on TV than a big cavernous arena that, inevitably, is going to be mostly empty (to this day, 18 years later, TNA/Impact has never once drawn a crowd of 9,000 fans. Never even really close actually).
  • Various other TNA notes: Dave runs down the list of confirmed names for TNA's first taping. Rick Steiner, K-Krush (formerly K-Kwik in WWF), Konnan, Steve Corino, The Harris Brothers, Psicosis, and a bunch of others. Don Frye has talked to Jeff Jarrett about coming in to work a match with Ken Shamrock. Jackie Fargo is going to be there doing something. They made an offer to Shane Douglas but he only agreed to come in if they didn't hire Francine (some kind of falling out between them). TNA decided they'd rather have Francine. They're expected to be doing some kind of old school vs. new school angle so....yay. More latter-years WCW shit. Mike & Todd Shane are coming in as a tag team called Dick & Rod Johnson and will have costumes that apparently look like penises, just in case you were still on the fence about whether Vince Russo is involved. The top stars are basically making around $3,500 per week which is a pretty decent salary for one day's work every week. The guys without name value, on the other hand, are getting $300 per show and are covering their own transportation. Just in case you were still on the fence about whether Jerry Jarrett is involved.
  • Ken Shamrock did an interview and acknowledged that he hasn't done pro-wrestling in a few years and knows he's going to be rusty. He also said he's worried because with only 1 show per week, he won't really be able to get enough matches under his belt to get good again. He also said he's signed a 3 fight deal with UFC and will be fighting Tito Ortiz in September, which turns out to be a pretty huge damn deal.
  • Dave saw the K-1 match with former WCW developmental wrestler Bob Sapp vs. some dude. Doesn't matter. What matters is Bob Sapp is enormous ("makes Brock Lesnar look like Jerry Lynn"). And he mauled this poor guy. In fact, it looked like Sapp was trying to get DQ'd, as he started kicking and kneeing the guy while he was down and just treating it like a street fight, violating lots of rules in the process. He was DQ'd but then K-1 booked Sapp and this other dude for a rematch in July. That leads Dave to think this was planned as an effort to get Sapp over as a lunatic, but if it was a work, somebody should have told the other guy because Sapp fucked him right on up. "This was like everyone feared Mike Tyson would behave, but 1,000 times worse and from a man far more scary." Furthermore, Sapp came out in a full Ric Flair robe and to Ric Flair' ring music, and the arena went insane. Sapp has massive superstar appeal in Japan right now and promoting him as a violent psychopath who has no regards for the rules in a shoot fight appears to be getting over huge.
WATCH: Bob Sapp vs. some dude. Doesn't matter. K-1
  • Edge will not need surgery for his torn labrum injury, so he'll only miss a few weeks of action instead of a few months. Edge is in the midst of the biggest push of his career and this is his chance to finally break through to the next level so needless to say, good news.
  • Notes from Raw: show opened with Vince walking out, which was unexpected since this is Flair's show. He said Austin wasn't there and made a point of saying Austin was too much of a coward to be there. Pretty well buried Austin and buried Raw as a bad show (blaming Flair in kayfabe for all the show's real life problems. Sorta like last year when they actually turned the bad ratings into a storyline by trying to blame it on Corbin. Some things never change). They're doing a storyline with Trish making fun of Molly Holly for allegedly having a fat ass because, again, some things never change. Former Tough Enough contestant Chris Nowinski debuted doing the Harvard grad gimmick like the heel jock in every teen movie. "The heel jock." Never change Dave. Shawn Michaels made his big return, cut his promo joining the NWO and turning heel on the fans before superkicking Booker T out of the group. So theoretically, this should mean Booker T should have to work his way through the entire NWO one by one before getting to Shawn at the end, in what should be Shawn's first match back. "I'm not holding my breath," Dave says. And of course, Vince beat Flair to take control of both shows. Horrible match but considering it was a last minute panic move, understandable under the circumstances. Lesnar ran in and helped Vince win the match.
WATCH: Vince McMahon opening promo with Ric Flair on Raw
WATCH: Ric Flair vs. Vince McMahon for sole ownership of WWE
  • Notes from Smackdown: during a big pull-apart brawl, several agents ran in to break it up. Among them were Dean Malenko and Fit Finlay, appearing on TV for the first time in their new backstage roles, and John Lauranitis who was also shown on TV last week. More gay jokes with Billy and Chuck and Rico, which Dave calls Russo-esque. Not quite yet. Jamie Noble was introduced with Nidia from Tough Enough season 1 as his valet, in a feud with Hurricane. There was a big effort to make Bob Holly a star this week, starting a feud with he and Kurt Angle and they really pushed Holly hard as a star and Angle busted his ass to try and get him over. And they did a show-long angle with Maven in the hospital (he's legit injured) and Torrie Wilson shows up, it's implied that she gives him a blowjob, and then Dr. Tajiri shows up, mists Torrie and beats up Maven. Dave is at least happy that they're trying to make an angle out of Maven's injury so he has a storyline to come back to, which is more effort than they put into most stuff these days.
  • Various WWE notes: referee Tim White suffered a torn rotator cuff in the Backlash Hell in a Cell match and will need surgery that will keep him out of the ring for months. Rey Mysterio is scheduled to debut on WWE house shows this week and, as of now, is expected to be wearing his mask again. Terry Taylor has been reaching out to get hired, but the company won't return his calls (they eventually re-hire him in September).
  • There's been a lot of praise for the new Spiderman comic "Tangled Web" which was written by Raven (I had to research this, but yeah. "Tangled Web" was a Spiderman anthology series that lasted about 2 years and had 22 issues. Each issue was written by different authors. Issue 14 was called "The Last Shoot" and sure enough, it was co-written by Raven alongside Brian Azzarello, who is the mind behind one of my favorite comic series of all time, 100 Bullets. And I had no idea. Wild).
  • The long-discussed plan of having Arn Anderson as Chris Benoit's manager seems to be off the table now. The thought is Anderson has been devalued so much in recent months (they pretty much wheel him out every time they need someone to take a beating for heat in a Flair feud) that he wouldn't be effective as a manager for a strong, serious heel.
  • Tough Enough II winner Linda Miles made her in-ring debut on Velocity, against Ivory. She was accompanied by fellow winner Jackie Gayda, who turned heel on her and cost Linda the match. Dave thinks it's waaaaaay too early to put these 2 women in a feud against each other considering how green they both still are.
WATCH: Linda Miles vs. Ivory - WWE Velocity 2002
  • The Rock, Vince McMahon, Undertaker, Jerry Lawler, Jm Ross, Triple H, Stephanie McMahon, and Shane McMahon were all in Memphis at the Mike Tyson/Lennox Lewis fight last week. Rock could be seen on camera a few rows deep throughout the fight, while Vince was shown on camera as a celebrity in attendance before the fight. The others were never shown on-camera, but they were all there. The PPV is estimated to have done 1.8 million buys and grossed a record $103 million, which are numbers that WWE can only dream of. Prior to the PPV, Rock co-hosted a pre-show party with guests such as Halle Berry and Britney Spears.
NEXT WEDNESDAY: Steve Austin accused of abusing Debra, much more on that situation and Austin's walkout, Jesse Ventura not running for re-election, Rock wrestles in Hawaii, and more...
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