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[Game Preview] Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles(1-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-1)

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-1)
The Eagles take on the Falcons in week 2, which seems to be a yearly match up as this point as the Eagles have faced the Falcons in each of the last 3 seasons including the playoffs. The Eagles have gotten the better of the exchange in those games going 3-0. The Eagle will look to build off their strong second half from last week where they scored 25 points on their way to victory. The Falcons on the other hand will look to rebound from an embarrassing loss to the Vikings where they gave up 172 yards on the ground and failed to get anything going on offense until garbage time was upon them. The loss shouldn’t be indicative of the Falcons, they are a talented team on both sides of the ball and the Eagles secondary has struggled heavily against Julio Jones who has eclipsed 100 yards receiving in each of the last 3 matchups. The secondary struggled last week and it is only going to get harder for the Eagles as they each Jones, Sanu and Ridley. The Falcons young secondary isn’t going to have it much easier and will definitely get tested more this week than they were against the Vikings, but if Falcon D struggles against the run like last week it could be a long night for Falcon fans. The matchups to watch will be in the trenches where the Vikings gave Matt Ryan fits sacking him 4 times and pressured him all day. The Eagles defensive line is arguably better and the strength of the defense. They will need to be on their game to help the secondary out or it could be a long On the flip side Carson Wentz was gifted tons of time by his OL which allowed him to connect on multiple deep passes. The Falcons will need to find a way to get pressure or Jackson and Jeffrey could be in line for big games in back to back weeks. At the end of the day these two teams have played each other tough over the 3 seasons in some close low scoring games, so let's hope for a good injury free game on Sunday Night football’s rendition of the Bird Bowl. Go Eagles.
General Information
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Remember to Join us on Discord during the game!
New to the Eagles? Take a look at our New Fan Page!
Date
Sunday, September 15th, 2019
Game Time Game Location
8:20 PM - Eastern Mercedes-Benz Stadium
7:20 PM - Central 1 AMB Drive NW
6:20 PM - Mountain Atlanta, GA, 30313
5:20 PM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Dome
Surface: FieldTurf Revolution 360
Temperature: 76°F
Feels Like: 76°F
Forecast: Overcast. Partly cloudy throughout the day.
Chance of Precipitation: NA
Cloud Coverage: NA
Wind: NA
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: Philadelphia by -2
OveUnder: 52.5
Record VS. Spread: Philadelphia 0-1, Falcons 0-1
Where to Watch on TV
NBC will broadcast Sunday’s game to a national audience. Al Michaels will handle the play-by-play duties and Cris Collinsworth will try to provide analysis. Michele Tafoya will report from the sideline.
TV Map - Week 2 TV Coverage Map
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (42nd season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Falcons Radio
Falcons Radio Network Wes Durham will handle the play-by-play duties and Dave Archer will provide analysis.
National Radio
Westwood One will carry the game nationally with Kevin Kugler (play-by-play) and Jason Taylor(analyst).
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Falcons Channel National Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 83(Internet 825) SIRI 81(Internet 801) SIRI 88 (Internet 88)
XM Radio XM 225 (Internet 825) XM 226 (Internet 801) XM 88 (Internet 88)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 225 (Internet 825) SXM 226 (Internet 801) SXM 88 (Internet 88)
Eagles Social Media Falcons Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: falcons
NFC East Standings
NFC EAST Record PCT Home Road Div Conf PF PA Net Pts Streak
Eagles 1-0 1.000 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 35 27 +5 1W
Cowboys 1-0 1.000 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 35 17 +18 1W
Redskins 0-1 .000 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 27 32 -5 1L
Giants 0-01 .000 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 17 35 -18 1L
Series Information
The Philadelphia Eagles lead the Atlanta Falcons (20-14-1). (17-13-1) regular season, (3-1) postseason
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
September 18th, 1966 at Franklin Field in Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia Eagles 23 – Atlanta Falcons 10
Points Leader
The Philadelphia Eagles lead the Atlanta Falcons (745-614)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 3-0 against the Falcons
Dan Quinn: 1-3 against Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs Dan Quinn: Pederson leads 3-0
Quarterback Record
Carson Wentz: Against Falcons: 1-0
Matt Ryan: Against Eagles: 3-6
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Carson Wentz vs Matt Ryan: Wentz leads 1-0
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Eagles lead Falcons 7-1
Record @ Mercedes Benz: N/A
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No. 5 - Falcons No. 21
2019 Record
Eagles: 1-0
Falcons: 0-1
Last Meeting
Thursday, September 6th, 2018
Eagles 18 - Falcons 12
A rematch from the 2017 divisional round with backup Nick Foles again for the Eagles. The Falcons moved the ball against the Eagles defense most of the night, but was suffocated each time they enter the redzone, scoring just one touchdown in five trips inside the Philadelphia 20-yard line. They came away with no points three times and settled for a short field goal on another. Nick Foles again played the role of receiver, catching a 15 yard pass from Nelson Agholor and Jay Ajayi added rushed for 2 TDs. Like the divisional round, the game came down to a goal line stand where again the Eagles defense shutdown Julio Jones and Matt Ryan in the endzone to preserve the win for the Eagles..
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here for box score
Last 10 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
09/06/18 Eagles Falcons 18-12
01/13/18 Eagles Falcons 15-10
11/13/16 Eagles Falcons 24-15
09/14/15 Falcons Eagles 26-24
10/28/12 Falcons Eagles 30-17
09/18/11 Falcons Eagles 35-31
10/17/10 Eagles Falcons 31-17
12/06/09 Eagles Falcons 34-7
10/26/08 Eagles Falcons 27-14
12/31/06 Eagles Falcons 24-17
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Falcons Falcons
2019 “Expert” Picks
Week 2 - "Expert" Picks
2019 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Falcons Season Stats
2019 Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Passing
Name CMP ATT PCT YDS TD INT RAT
Wentz 28 39 71.8% 313 3 0 121.0
Ryan 33 46 71.7% 307 2 2 85.8
Rushing
Name ATT YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Sproles 9.0 47 47.0 5.3 0
Freeman 8 19 19 2.4 0
Receiving
Name REC YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Jackson 8 154 58.9 19.3 2
Hooper 9 77 77 8.6 0
Sacks
Name Sacks Team Total
Jernigan 1.0 1
Garrett 1.0 1
Tackles
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
Bradham 7 5 2 0
Campbell 8 6 2 0
Interceptions
Name Ints Team Total
NA 0 0
NA 0 0
Punting
Name ATT YDS LONG AVG NET IN 20 TB BP
Johnston 3 154 54 51.3 47.7 1 0 0
Bosher 3 130 52 43.3 32.5 2 0 1
Kicking
Name ATT MADE % LONG PAT
Elliot 1 1 100.0% 22 3/3
Bryant 0 0 0 0 0/0
Kick Returns
Name ATT YDS AVG LONG TD
NA 0 0 0 0 0
Barner 2 44 22.0 26 0
Punt Returns
Name RET YDS AVG LONG TD FC
Sproles 4 46 11.5 17 0 0
Barner 4 46 11.5 18 0 0
League Rankings 2019
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Falcons Stat Falcons Rank
Total Offense 436.0 8th 345 20th
Rush Offense 123 11th(t) 73.0 24th
Pass Offense 313.0 11th 272.0 15th
Points Per Game 32.0 6th 12.0 28th
3rd-Down Offense 64.7% 2nd 25% 26th(t)
4th-Down Offense 50% 6th(t) 100% 1st(t)
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 66.7% 14th(t) 50% 18th(t)
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Falcons Stat Falcons Rank
Total Defense 398.0 20th 269.0 7th
Rush Defense 28.0 2nd 172.0 29th
Pass Defense 370.0 28th 97.0 1st
Points Per Game 27 17th(t) 28.0 21st(t)
3rd-Down Defense 38.5% 11th(t) 50.0% 19th(t)
4th-Down Defense 100% 28th(t) 0.0% 1st(t)
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 50% 11th(t) 100% 24th(t)
Team
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Falcons Stat Falcons Rank
Turnover Diff. 0 14th(t) -3 29th(t)
Penalty Per Game 6.0 6th(t) 9.0 22nd(t)
Penalty Yards Per Game 55.0 12th(t) 78.0 26th
Connections
Falcons QBs Matt Ryan (William Penn Charter) and Matt Schaub (West Chester East) attended high school in the Philadelphia area.
Falcons RB Dave Brock was born in Moorestown, NJ
Falcons Senior Assistant Bob Sutton coached with Eagles HC in Kansas City when Pederson was OC and Sutton was DC from 2013-2015.
Falcons Defensive passing game coordinator Jerome Henderson played for the Eagles in 1995.
Eagles DL coach Chris Wilson held the same title with the University of Georgia in 2013.
The two TEs in Sunday’s game played collegiately at Stanford: Eagles TE Zach Ertz (2010-12) and Falcons TEs Austin Hooper (2014-15)
Falcons RB Kenjon Barner played 4 seasons with the Eagles from 2014-2017 and won a SB with the Eagles in 2017.
Recap from Last Week’s Games.
Eagles
Video The Eagles started slow against their division rival the Washington Redskins falling down 17-0. But the Eagles high powered offense finally got into gear and Desean Jackson’s homecoming turned into a highlight reel as the speedy veteren receiver caught a pair of 50 yard TD passes and Alshon Jeffrey added a pair of his own to take the lead. And kept it away from the Redskins who failed to get anything going against the Eagles defense in the second half until the game was already out of reach after struggling to stop the Redskins passing attack in the first half.
Falcons
Video The Falcons came into the season as a potential playoff team, but looked nothing of the sort against the Minnesota Vikings to open the season. Matt Ryan played like a shell of the 2016 league MVP beginning his 12th season, unable to find his footing all afternoon in the face of a fierce pass rush that racked up four sacks. He threw 2 picks and struggled to get anything going until the game was already out of reach when he threw for 2 TDs in garbage time. The Falcons defense didn’t look much better as the Vikings ran all over them to the tune of 172 yards and 3 rushing TDs. Cousins only dropped back to throw a mere 10 times completing 8 of them in a dominant Vikings win.
2019 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Falcons
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter) WR Julio Jones (Starter)
OG Brandon Brooks (Starter) C Alex Mack (Starter)
TE Zach Ertz (Starter) OT Jake Matthews
SS Malcom Jenkings (1st Alt) TE Austin Hooper (1st Alt)
OT Lane Johnson (1st Alt
General
Referee: Brad Allen
Philadelphia has posted a 20-14-1 (.586) all-time record vs. Atlanta (including playoffs), winning 11 of the last 15 (.733) series games dating back to 2000.
The Eagles are undefeated (3-0 overall) against the Falcons during the Doug Pederson era (since 2016), including a 15-10 home victory in the 2017 NFC Divisional Round
Doug Pederson has led the Eagles to a 34-20 record since 2016 (including playoffs), which marks the highest winning percentage (.630) by a head coach in franchise history.
Since 2016, Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the NFL in primetime winning percentage (.750, 12-4) (including playoffs)
ncluding playoffs, the Eagles have produced the 3rd-best red zone TD percentage (61.7%) in the NFL since 2017, trailing only New Orleans (64.8%) and Seattle (61.9%).
Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate (43.7%) since 2017 (including playoffs), behind Tampa Bay (44.7%) and Atlanta (43.8%).
The Eagles own the 6th-highest scoring offense (25.8, 3rd in the NFC) in the NFL since 2017 (including playoffs), trailing only Kansas City (30.6), L.A. Rams (29.9), New Orleans (29.2), New England (28.5) and Pittsburgh (25.9).
Philadelphia leads the NFL in red zone defense (46.3%) since 2016 (including playoffs).
The Eagles have recorded the 5th-best (2nd in the NFC) 3rd-down defense (36.7%) in the NFL since 2016 (including playoffs), behind Minnesota (32.0%), Baltimore (35.1%), Denver (36.1%) and Jacksonville (36.6%).
Since 2016, Philadelphia ranks 5th in the NFL (2nd in the NFC) in points allowed per game (20.1) (including playoffs), behind NE (18.5), Bal. (18.9), Min. (19.1) and LAC (19.5).
Draft Picks
Eagles Falcons
OT Andre Dillard G Chris Lindstrom
RB Miles Sanders OT Kaleb McGray
WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside CB Kendall Sheffield
WR Shareff Miller DE John Cominsky
QB Clayton Thorson(I suck and am a Cowboy Now) RB Qadree Ollison
CB Jordan Miller
LB Cole Holcomb
WR Marcus Green
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Falcons
WR Desean Jackson DT Tyler Davison
DT Malik Jackson G Jame Carpenter
DE Vinny Curry G Jamon Brown
S Andrew Sendejo RB Kenjon Barner
LB Zach Brown TE Luke Stocker
DT Hassan Ridgeway S JJ Wilcox
QB Josh McCown
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Falcons
QB “Big Dick” Nick Foles CB Robert Alford
DE Michael Bennett RB Tevin Coleman
DE Chris Long CB Justin Bethel
S Chris Maragos DE Bruce Irvin
RB Jay Ajayi WR Marvin Hall
RB Josh Adams CB Brian Poole
RB Wendell Smallwood
WR Jordan Matthews
DT Haloti Ngata
Milestones
Eagles QB Carson Wentz (73) needs 4 passing TDs to move up to 6th on the Eagles all-time passing TDs list moving ahead of Sonny Jurgenson.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (29) needs 2 TDs to move up to 11th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list all-time tying WR Jack Ferrante and Brent Celek
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (4881) needs 118 yards to move up to 8th on the Eagles all-time receiving yards list all-time passing his mentor TE *Brent Celek
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (4881) needs 119 yards for 5000 career receiving yards.
Eagles WR Desean Jackson (34) needs 2 TDs to move into a tie for 7th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list tying Jeremy Maclin.
Eagles WR Desean Jackson (6271) needs 194 yards to move up to 3rd on the Eagles all-time receiving yard list to moving ahead of Mike Quick.
Eagles RB Darren Sproles needs 54 yards to move up to 5th on the NFL’s all-time all-purpose yards list passing WR Tim Brown.
Eagles S Malcolm Jenkins's (4) needs 1 more Interception for a TD to tie CB Eric Allen (5) for most Interceptions for a TD by an Eagles player.
Falcons DE Vic Beasley (29.5) needs 1 sack to move up to 7th on the Falcons all-time sack list passing Roderick Coleman and 2 sacks to move u p to 6th on the list passing Lester Archambeau.
Falcons DE Vic Beasley (29.5) needs 1 sack to move up to 7th on the Falcons all-time sack list passing Roderick Coleman and 2 sacks to move u p to 6th on the list passing Lester Archambeau.
Falcons DE Adrian Clayburn (17.0) needs 2 sacks to move up to 17th on the Falcons all-time sack list passing Jumpy Geathers.
Falcons QB Matt Ryan (297) needs 3 TDs for 300 career passing touchdowns.
Falcons WR Julio Jones (10762) needs 102 yards to becomes the Falcons all-time leading receiver passing WR Roddy White.
Falcons RB Devonta Freeman (3335) needs 148 rushings yards to move up to 7th on the Falcons all-time rushing list passing FB Dave Hampton.
Pro Football Focus Matchup Charts courtesy of PFF Edge (join.profootballfocus.com/edge/)
WDB Matchups (CAPS = expected shadow coverage)
Matchups to Watch
Falcons Offensive Line vs Eagles Pass Rush
This is easily the most important matchup for the Eagles in this contest and one they have a favorable matchup in for the second consecutive week. PFF charted the Eagles as having a pressure rate of 42.2% against Keenum. This is a really good number but one that puzzles me a little bit. Coaches, players, and film experts all agree that the Redskins did a lot of max protect against our pass rush and for good reason. I think it worked well for the Redskins and I find the pressure percentage Philly was credited for to be quite generous. Individual players had their moments against the Skins but I felt the pass rush was ineffective; it’s still early but worth noting since that is how this defense is built to win. The Falcons Offensive line is one the Eagles have had a lot of success against recently and is still struggling to improve. They are looking to start rookie Kaleb McGary at right tackle and rotated him in for some snaps in week 1 with Ty Sambrailo. McGary was a bit of a project and working his way back from offseason injury. A tackle rotation is far from ideal under any circumstances, especially one with Sambrailo. Brandon Graham has a golden opportunity to flex in this contest with a matchup he should dominate. Fletcher Cox has been working in a bit as he works his way back into shape after offseason surgery. He has numerous wins against center Alex Mack throughout this matchup history and will see a journeyman backup guard Jamon Brown as he replaced rookie Chris Lindstrom at right guard. Mack is a good center but Brown is a terrible guard. Timmy Jernigan will also see extended snaps on the inside with the injury to Malik Jackson; the injury is a big loss for the Eagles but one they can overcome with Jernigan’s return and the steady play from Hassan Ridgeway. Left Guard James Carpenter isn’t anything to write home about either which bodes well for Philly. The Falcons have a solid-to-good left tackle in Jake Matthews who is fresh off a butt-kicking at the hands of Everson Griffen. I would expect Jake Matthews to bounce back and play better but there is blood in the water for Philadelphia here to get their pass rush back on track. Derek Barnett is showing a lot of improvement early on. Matthews continuing to struggle would create yet another opportunity for the Eagles pass rush. All of this, combined with the average coaching and play-calling from Dirk Koetter, creates an opportunity to attack the Falcons similar to how the Vikings did. Koetter calls for a lot of long developing pass plays which opens the door for a good pass rush to get home. The pass rush cannot afford to struggle for a second week in a row considering the next key matchup.
Falcons Receivers vs Eagles Secondary
The Eagles have a considerable advantage the trenches in this game but the Falcons have a juicy matchup (again) with the Eagles secondary. Schwartz has done well against the Falcons since he’s been DC with the Eagles, including shutting down their famed 2016 offense. Despite the successes the Eagles had of late, they’ve been carved to shreds by Julio. At least until he gets in the red zone, then he becomes Wholio. I won’t rehash the statline, but it ain’t great! The coaches, as well as the fans, will live with the Julio thrashing if we keep him out of the end zone and win the game. I just wonder how long the Eagles can get by playing with fire against this receiving group. Julio, Ridley, and Sanu are one of the best receiving rooms the Eagles will face this year. The Eagles secondary is fresh off poor matchup against the vaunted Case Keenum and his sad-sacks; they cannot afford the untimely coaching decisions and miscues from the players. We all know the scheme Schwartz will run. The Eagles defense is easy to figure out and remains unchanged. Players like Ronald Darby need to execute their coverage assignments better when they are asked to cover deep when the safety drops down. Coaches like Jim Schwartz should not have the slow Rasul Douglas play off-man coverage against a guy that runs 4.35 without safety help. Last week wasn’t an encouraging performance for the secondary. Fortunately, they know how to game plan against this Falcons squad and have had a lot of success in doing so. Any improvements from the secondary will go a long way to helping the Eagles win but it is not a unit that will carry them to victory. It can help them lose, which it almost did. This isn’t an offense you want to spot a lead.
Falcons Defensive Line vs Eagles Offensive Line
The Eagles have very favorable matchups in the trenches in this game as the Falcons don’t have a good defensive line outside of the great Grady Jarrett. He’s a treat to watch and one of the best interior defensive lineman in football. Jarrett is where the talent starts and unfortunately ends for Atlanta. Vic Beasley isn’t much of defender. Takk McKinley flashes some pass rush upside but is weak against the run. This is a unit that was mauled by the Vikings in the ground game. I don’t think the Vikings offensive line is suddenly good, but the favorable game script allowed them to run all over Atlanta. The Eagles have a much better Offensive Line with Kelce, Brooks, and Lane as All-Pro talents on the right side. Isaac Seumalo had a good and promising start at Left Guard with Jason Peters returning to form protecting the blindside. When healthy, this is a group with four All-Pro caliber players. This unit kept Wentz very clean and opened up holes in the ground game Hellen Keller could find. The Eagles haven’t had a lot of success offensively with the Falcons speed on defense but this defensive line is weaker for them than it has been. On the road, controlling the line of scrimmage will help keep the offense on schedule. The Falcons have struggled against running backs in the Dan Quinn era so dominating up front will go a long way in winning this contest.
Coaching Battle
There is a chance the Falcons Head Coach could be on the hot seat with another down season despite the talent on the roster. This is compounded by the major coaching changes they made heading into 2019. Dirk Koetter is a decent offensive coordinator and hasn’t proven to be much more than that in recent years. Still, this is a team, despite its flaws up front, that has a lot of talent. You have to love the Eagles coaches’ ability to consistently adapt in game circumstances to help the team win; they need to be better in this regard early in games this year. We all know the stat: the Eagles offense was among the league worst in 1st quarter scoring in 2018. Last Sunday saw a return of that. The 2019 is still very young to have definitive takes, but the coaching needs to be better early in games. You can’t consistently chase teams and expect to have success. The coaches do need time to figure out what works with the depth of weapons on the team so early bumps aren’t shocking. But this is a Falcons coaching staff that has held the Eagles offense in check since Quinn has been head coach and has weapons to make Philly pay a more punishing price than the Skins delivered. I mention this for all of the above reasons – not to try and panic. Doug is a great coach and has proven to rally the team. They just need to be more consistent. The same goes for Jim Schwartz. The defense is unchanged but some of the same problems remain; it’s up to the coaches to put the players in more advantageous situations to succeed.
Special thanks to MikeTysonChicken and abenyishay for their help in creating this Game Preview
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[Game Preview] Week 16 - Philadelphia Eagles(7-7) at Houston Texans (10-4)

Philadelphia Eagles (7-7) vs Houston Texans (10-4)
After a big win against one of the best in the NFC the Eagles will welcome one of the best in the AFC to town as they taken Deshaun Watson, JJ Watt and the Houston Texans. Like the Rams, the Eagles will face a high powered quick strike offense and a defense with talented players upfront. On offense, the Eagles bewildered secondary will need to hold up against one of the best WRs in the league in DeAndre Hopkins who has shredded defenses this season with 11 TDs and over 1300 yards. It won't be easy as the Eagles will have to deal with Deshaun Watson who can hurt defenses with his arm and his legs. The Defensive Line will need to get pressure on Watson and keep him contained in order to slow down that Texans defense. On the other side of the football, the Texans have one of the most formidable pass rushes in the league led by JJ Watt who has bounced back from his injury to up 14.5 sacks so far this season. The Eagles OL will need to keep him in check like they did with Donald to give Nick Foles time to find his receivers downfield. The Eagles have the weapons to put up points on the Texans defense, but they will need the OL to hold for them to get open. The Eagles need a win to keep their playoff hopes alive, so let's see if BDN can rub that slong one more time to turn into SB MVP BDN again. Go Birds!
General Information
Posting Rules and Guidelines
Remember to join us on Slack during the game!
Click here to register for Slack.
New to the Eagles? Take a look at our New Fan Page!
Date
Sunday, December 23rd, 2018
Game Time Game Location
1:00 PM - Eastern Lincoln Financial Field
12:00 PM - Central 1020 Pattison Ave
11:00 AM - Mountain Philadelphia, PA 19148
10:00 AM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Open
Surface: Grass
Temperature: 40°F
Feels Like: 36°F
Forecast: Partly Cloudy. Mostly cloudy starting in the afternoon.
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Cloud Coverage: 23%
Wind: SSW 3 MPH
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: Eagles by -1.5
OveUnder: 46
Record VS. Spread: Philadelphia 5-9, Houston 6-7-1
Where to Watch on TV
CBS will broadcast Sunday’s game to a regional audience. Ian Eagles will handle the play-by-play duties and Dan Fouts will provide analysis. Evan Washburn will report from the sidelines.
TV Map - Week 16 TV Coverage Map
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (41st season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Texans Radio
Texans Radio Marc Vandermeer is in his 16th season as the “Voice of the Houston Texans." Joining Vandermeer in the booth to provide analysis is Heisman Trophy winner Andre Ware. Texans analyst John Harris patrols the sidelines with updates throughout the game.
National Radio
ESPN Radio will broadcast the game nationally with Marc Kestecher (play-by-play) and Bill Polian (analyst) and Sal Palantonio (sideline).
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Texans Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 82 (Internet 825) SIRI 111 (Internet 812)
XM Radio XM 227 (Internet 825) XM (Internet 812)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 227 (Internet 825) SXM 387 (Internet 812)
Eagles Social Media Texans Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: texansofficial
NFC East Standings
Team W PCT Home Road Div Conf PF PA Net Pts Strk
Cowboys 8-6 0.571 6-1 2-5 4-1 7-3 276 269 7 1L
Eagles 7-7 0.500 4-3 3-4 3-2 5-6 311 318 -7 1W
Redskins 7-7 0.500 3-4 4-3 2-3 6-5 265 310 -45 1W
Giants 5-9 0.357 2-5 3-4 1-4 4-7 307 348 -41 1L
Series Information
The Philadelphia Eagles lead the Texans (Philadelphia Eagles lead series, 4-0)
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
September 29, 2002 at Veterans Stadium, Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia Eagles 35 - Houston Texans 17
Points Leader
Philadelphia Eagles lead the Houston Texans (124-72)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 0-0 against the Texans
Bill O'Brien: 0-1 against Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs Bill O'Brien: This will be the first match up between the coaches.
Quarterback Record
Nick Foles: Against Texans: 1-0
Deshaun Watson: Against Eagles: 0-0
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Nick Foles vs Deshaun Watson: This will be the 1st meeting between the QBs
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Eagles lead Texans: 1-0
Record @ NRG Stadium: Eagles lead the Texans 2-0
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No.15 - Texans No. 6
Record
Eagles: 7-7
Texans: 10-2
Last Meeting
Sunday November 2nd, 2014
Eagles 31 - Texans 21
Nick Foles was 9 of 12 for 124 yard and a TD before Whitney Mercilus sacked Foles twice in three plays, driving him hard into the turf on the second one to send the quarterback to the locker room. Mark Sanchez replaced Foles, throwing for 202 yards and 2 TDs while overcoming 2 turnovers and doing just enough as the offense put up 31 points. The was able to hold off Fitzmagic and the Texans offense which struggled to get going to keep the Eagles in first place with a 31-21 win over the Houston Texans.
Click here to View Game Stats
Click here to view the Video Recap
Last Meeting at Site
Sunday December 2nd, 2010
Eagles 34 - Texans 24
Michael Vick limped to the huddle and walked gingerly to the line of scrimmage. He may have been bruised. He may have been battered, but that didn't stop him from throwing for 302 yards and accounting for 3 TDs in a 34-24 win over the Houston Texans. Vick was harrassed throughout the game, but he kept getting up making big play after big play. Vick's 2 yard run in the 4th quarter gave the Eagles the lead and Vick's TD pass on the following possession sealed it for the Eagles. Matt Schaub had 337 yards passing and two scores for the Texans (5-7). Andre Johnson had 149 yards receiving -- four days after his hockey-like fight with Tennessee's Cortland Finnegan.
Click here to View Game Stats
Click here to view the Video Recap
Last 4 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
11/02/14 Eagles Texans 31-21
12/02/10 Eagles Texans 34-24
09/10/06 Eagles Texans 24-10
09/29/02 Eagles Texans 35-17
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Texans Texans
2018 Weekly Matchup
Week 16 - Iron Rank Matchup
Week 16 - "Expert" Picks
2018 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Texans Season Stats
2018 Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Passing
Name CMP ATT PCT YDS TD INT RAT
Wentz 279 401 69.6% 3074 21 7 102.2
Foles 78 113 69.0% 721 1 2 81.8
Watson 291 430 67.7% 3592 24 9 103.2
Rushing
Name ATT YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Adams 98 440 36.6 4.5 3
Miller 193 917 70.5 4.8 4
Receiving
Name REC YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Ertz 101 1038 74.1 10.3 6
Hopkins 94 1321 94.4 14.1 11
Sacks
Name Sacks Team Total
Bennett 8 36
Watt 14.5 39
Tackles
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
Jenkins 88 71 17 1.0
Mathieu 82 66 16 3.0
Interceptions
Name Ints Team Total
Douglas/Maddox 2 9
Reid 4 13
Punting
Name ATT YDS LONG AVG NET IN 20 TB BP
Johnston 56 2718 68 48.5 43.4 23 6 0
Daniel 63 2781 61 44.1 39.2 30 5 0
Kicking
Name ATT MADE % LONG PAT
Elliot 28 23 82.1% 56 28/29
Fairbairn 39 34 87.2% 54 34/35
Kick Returns
Name ATT YDS AVG LONG TD
Clement 13 333 25.6 48 0
Carter 4 99 24.8 30 0
Punt Returns
Name RET YDS AVG LONG TD FC
Sproles 8 70 8.8 14 0 6
Carter 9 82 9.1 25 0 5
League Rankings 2018
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Texans Stat Texans Rank
Total Offense 254.7 17th 363.5 14th
Rush Offense 98.9 27th 130.4 6th
Pass Offense 255.9 12th 233.1 18th
Points Per Game 22.2 18th 25.1 11th
3rd-Down Offense 38.3% 18th 39.9% 20th
4th-Down Offense 50.0% T-21st 70.0% 6th
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 57.7% 17th 50.0% T-26th
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Texans Stat Texans Rank
Total Defense 386.1 27th 346.6 14th
Rush Defense 104.9 11th 88.3 4th
Pass Defense 281.2 31st 258.3 26th
Points Per Game 22.7 16th 20.1 5th
3rd-Down Defense 37.4% T-9th 39.9 20th
4th-Down Defense 64.3% 27th 50.0% T-8th
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 43.4% 3rd 73.7% T-30th
Team
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Texans Stat Texans Rank
Turnover Diff. -4 22nd +10 3rd
Penalties Per Game 6.0 T-6th 6.6 T-13th
Penalty Yards Per Game 51.6 T-7th 50.8 5th
Connections
Texans WKR played one season with the Eagles in 2018 before we was released and signed with the Texans.
Eagles Guard Brandin Brooks was drafted in the 3rd round of the 2012 NFL draft by the Texans and played 4 seasons with them before signing with the Eagles.
2019 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Texans
TE Zach Ertz (Starter) WR DeAndre Hopkins (Starter)
G Brandon Brooks (Starter) DE JJ Watt (Starter)
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter) Jadeveon Clowney (Starter)
LB Benardrick McKinney
General
Referee: John Parry
Philadelphia is undefeated (4-0) in the all-time series vs. Houston. The Texans are one of two teams that the Eagles have never lost a game against (also N.Y. Jets, 10-0).
Philadelphia has won 8 of its last 9 games vs. AFC South opponents (dating back to 2010), including 5 straight wins against the division at Lincoln Financial Field.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz needs 10 to receptions to break Jason Wittens's NFL record (110 receptions) for most receptions yards by a TE in a season set in 2012.
Draft Picks
Eagles Texans
TE Dallas Goedert S Justin Reid
CB Avonte Maddox OT Martinas Rankin
DE Josh Sweat Te Jordan Akins
T Matt Pryor WR Keke Coutee
T Jordan Mailata DE Duke Ejiofor
TE Jordan Thomas
LB Peter Kalambayi
CB Jermaine Kelly
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Texans
WR Mike Wallace WR Demaryius Thomas
WR Markus Wheaton WR DeAndre Carter
DT Haloti Ngata S Tyrann Mathieu
P Cameron Johnston CB Aaron Colvin
DT Bruce Hector G Zach Fulton
LB DJ Alexander G Senio Kelemete
WR Jordan Matthews T Seantrel Henderson
LB Josh Keyes
QB Bradon Weeden
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Texans
DE Vinny Curry LB Bryan Cushing
WR Torrey Smith DB Marcus Gilchrist
RB Kenjon Barner RT Breno Giacomini
RB LaGarrett Blount LT Chris Clark
LB RB Mychal Kendricks G Xavier Su'a-Filo
CB Patrick Robinson
TE Trey Burton
DT Beau Allen
P Donnie Jones
WR Marcus Johnson
TE Brent Celek
Milestones
Eagles QB Carson Wentz needs 89 yards to move up to 5th on the Eagles all-time passing yards list moving ahead of QB Tommy Thompson.
Eagles QB Nick Foles needs 3 passing TDs to move into a tie for 10th all-time on the Eagles passing TD list tying QB Adrian Burk and QB Norm Van Brocklin.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (21) needs 2 TDs to move into a tie for 18th on the Eagles all-time receiving list tying TE *Chad Lewis.
Eagles RB Darren Sproles needs 320 yards to move up to 5th on the NFL’s all-time all-purpose yards list passing WR Tim Brown.
Eagles DE Fletcher Cox (40.5 - 8th) needs 1 sacks to move up to a tie for 6th all-time on the Eagles sack list with DE Brandon Graham
Eagles S Malcolm Jenkins's (4) needs 1 more Interception for a TD to tie CB Eric Allen (5) for most Interceptions for a TD by an Eagles player.
Eagles WR Golden Tate needs 2 TDs for 40 career receiving TDs.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz needs 153 yards to break Pete Retzlaff's record (1190) for most receiving yards by a TE in a season set in 1965.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz needs 10 to receptions to break Jason Wittens's NFL record (110 receptions) for most receptions yards by a TE in a season set in 2012.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (4702) needs 63 yards to move up to 10th all-time in on the Eagles receiving TD list passing WR Ben Hawkins
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (27) needs 1 TD to move into a tie for 14th all-time in on the Eagles receiving yards list passing WR Ben Hawkins
Texans LB Benardrick McKinney(10.5) needs 1 sack to move up to a tie for 11th all time on the Texans sack list passing DT Amobi Okoye and tying LB Jamie Shaper.
Texans DT Christian Covington(7.5) needs 1 sack to move up to a tie for 18th all time on the Texans sack list passing DT Gary Walker, LB Jeff Posey and tying LB Demeco Ryans.
Stats to Know
The Deshaun Watson to Deandre Hopkins Connection
According to PFF, Texans QB Watson has targeted WR DeAndre Hopkins 132 times this season, characterizing 94 of those balls as catchable. Of those 94 passes, Hopkins has not dropped a single one. Of all passes to Hopkins, 16.7% of them have been deep throws (20+ air yards, 62nd-most). However, on those 22 deep targets (11 catchable, 11 caught), Hopkins has generated the 12th-most yards. For WRs, Hopkins is tied for 8th in yards (1,321) per route run (536), at 2.46. When targeting Hopkins, Watson has generated a passer rating of 121.4, 16th-best for targeted WRs. PFF has also given Hopkins the highest grade of all WRs, in 2018, at 91.7. Rasul Douglas and Avonte Maddox, beware.
Matchups to Watch
Eagles Offensive Line vs. Texans Defensive Line
The Texans enter the contest this Sunday at The Linc winners of 10 of 11 and chasing a first round bye in the AFC playoff picture. This is a very talented team that features a very stout defensive line that is suffocating against rushing attacks and can get after the QB. JJ Watt has returned to his DPOY form after battling injuries in consecutive seasons and Clowney is a matchup nightmare along the defensive front given his versatility. Whitney Mercilus is a very good pass rusher and is used predominantly in that role. DJ Reeder is a force along the interior in the run game that really allow the Texans LBs to play hard and fast. This is a terrific defensive front that is one of the best defenses against the run in the NFL. Additionally, with the names mentioned above, they are more than capable of generating pass rush and hitting the QB - as you would expect. The Eagles offensive line has had some good showings of late but faces a significant challenge in this Texans defensive front. With the less mobile Foles, the line will have to play smart, sound football. This is especially true with the Texans since they like to send a wide variety of blitzes at the QB and the Eagles have had some issues with that this season. It'll be important for the offensive line to win its battles more often than not to keep the Eagles in favorable down and distance situations. Easier said that done this week.
Eagles Defensive Line vs. Texans Offensive Line
If there is one clear positional battle that the Eagles have a significant edge in this week it is their DL vs the Texans OL. Even with all of the banged up names up front for the Eagles the Texans OL is a sieve; they allow Watson to take far too many hits and he doesn't help matter himself holding on to the ball so long. Fletcher Cox and Michael Bennett are coming off their 2 best games of the season and have elevated their play to new heights the last two weeks. Both players are stout against the run and pass while being among the league leaders in QB hits. Brandon Graham has also come on of late for the Eagles and Chris Long remains a good rotational edge rusher for the Birds. Timmy Jernigan will be questionable Sunday but is expected to play. He shouldn't be expected to do a ton but his presence only helps the Eagles. The Texans are a team that can manufacture a ton of explosive plays and are committed to the run. The Eagles defensive line can really do some damage and help out their offense by getting after Watson and helping generate turnovers like last week. It's a clear strength against a clear weakness that the Eagles should be expected to win and will need to in order to take down this talented team.
Eagles Secondary vs Watson and Hopkins
It's no secret the Eagles secondary is banged up heading into this contest but they are also coming off one of their best performances of the season against the Rams. Rasul Douglas has steadily improved and rookie Avonte Maddox has been a huge hit for the Eagles in the 4th round. Malcolm Jenkins is still a stud at safety and Corey Graham was great least week in not costing the Eagles a win. The Texans passing offense took a hit when Will Fuller landed on IR but DeAndre Hopkins has long proven he doesn't need much help to kick ass. Hopkins is one of the best and most physically imposing receivers in the NFL. It doesn't matter who his QB is or who his covering him, Hopkins is able to produce. Even if the Eagles secondary plays well this week, Hopkins will certainly get his because he always does. Watson isn't flawless but he is a good QB that can get him the ball with touch and precision. The focus for the defense this week should be take away the impact of Hopkins as much as possible. Make the other players around him beat you. Keke Coutee has been a limited participant in practice this week as well as Lamar Miller. Make these guys beat you and play disciplined football.
Eagles Pass Offense vs Texans Pass Defense
As Kist and Solak said in their podcast this week on the matchup the Eagles should look to avoid purposely striving for balance in playcalling given the degree of difficulty in this matchup for the run game. Regardless of the opponent this season, the Texans have been able to shut down the run game. This week will very likely be no different so it'll be up to the entire offensive side of the ball to find ways to move the ball through the air. The Texans LBs and Safeties can all cover; while their CBs are generally good they are beatable. This likely makes this matchup an Alshon game given how he is able to win. The Eagles offense was relatively inefficient and very poor on money down situations despite the nice upset win last week. HB dives up the middle against this defensive front with Josh Adams are only going to set this offense up for failure. This could also be a game where Golden Tate has an impact as the short passing game can be used as an extension of the run game to keep the offense on schedule. Point is, the Eagles need a good game plan through the air and the Eagles need to execute on their assignments in order to keep the offense in favorable situations.
Special thanks to MikeTysonChicken and abenyishay for their help in creating this Game Preview.
submitted by Rsubs33 to eagles [link] [comments]

[Serious] Does the NFL (and this subreddit) have blinders when it comes to QBs drafted late? The case for Trevor Siemian

tldr wtf is this a novel subreddit? yeah my bad it was longer than i expected, so short version is start trevor siemian this year over paxton since siemian's yr 1 stats if he had played all 16 games would have been better or on par with guys like Wilson, Cam, Rivers, Eli, and Wentz who are all considered franchise QBs, despite Trevor having a horrible line, injuries, being a 7th rounder, not coming from a big school, etc. Currently most ppl expect Lynch to start just because he was drafted in the 1st round. If Lynch had started last year instead and had the same numbers, ppl would be thinking he's the future for DEN.
If you look at the current starters in the NFL, you'll see lots of QBs drafted in the first round, guys like Flacco and Rodgers, and guys drafted #1 or 2 overall like Goff, Smith, Cam, Eli, Bradford, Luck, RG3, Wentz, Winston, and Palmer. But there's that "other bucket" that, to some degree, we don't like to talk about: guys drafted outside the 1st that end up being successful despite not being seen as a guaranteed run-away franchise QBs. Wilson, 75th overall. Cousins, 102nd. Dak, 135th. And Brady, 199th overall. At what point are these guys not outliers, but examples of something the larger community is missing? Brees, once a guaranteed 1st rounder, "slipped due to concerns about his relatively short stature for a professional quarterback (6'), a perceived lack of arm strength, and a sense that he had succeeded in college in a spread offense." In NFL history, a QB has thrown for for over 5,000 yards just 9 times, ever. Brees has 5 of those 9 seasons, and no other QB has ever done it more than once except Brees.
Recently u/d1dOnly did a great summary of what the group thought of current QBs and what tiers they fall into. But something caught my eye and I've spent a little time looking into it. Trevor Siemian ended up ranking 26th, and I think as a ballpark that's semi-fair considering what he did last season and where he was ranked. But I also felt like maybe there was a chance, even if he wasn't the next Brady, that he was more special than we thought. He only played 14 games despite having a line with more holes than string cheese (PFF at one point ranked 2, 2!, of our guys in the bottom 5 offensive linemen in the entire league), and had a grade 5 shoulder sprain that sounds like he had for more of the season than not, and was also worse than most of the public was let on to know.
But what about his stats? If I'm bringing him up, it can't be all speculation, which is fair. Here's what I look at when I see him from a numbers game. I'll leave the film review on his highlights to someone else, but overall he's gotten credit for being a leader, being accurate, calm under pressure, and making good decisions, but been knocked on arm strength and athleticism (which again injuries might have contributed to). Siemian also gets knocked supposedly for having a lower potential ceiling than Paxton Lynch, the athletic 1st round challenger that he beat out in camp last year, needs to beat out in camp again this year, and by all accounts sounds like management wants Lynch to start. But if we look at Siemian's best game last year, before his week 4 injury, it was against a Bengals defense with a headline of "The proud Bengals defense dared Denver quarterback Trevor Siemian to beat them with his arm in the first road start of his career at Sunday’s sold-out Paul Brown Stadium opener and he shocked the crowd of 63,850 with four touchdown passes in a stunning 29-17 victory". If that's his ceiling when healthy, for his first road start ever, after being drafted in the 7th round with no real thought of starting, I'd say he looked pretty legit that game. But I digress.
The first stat that jumped out at me was a post in this sub that someone saw for QB with the lowest sack rate against the blitz last season. It wasn't MVP Ryan, or SB winner Wilson, or HOFer Rodgers, or even GOAT candidate Brady...yep it was Siemian. Okay that's a good start (esp with that line he had, as the tweet points out). Back to stats. There are tons of factors to consider, whether it's garbage time, or quality of receivers, or strength of schedule, so let's keep it simple: Siemian played 14 games, so let's take extrapolate those out to 16 games. And, if you're willing to indulge me, let's look at if he was just SLIGHTLY better over those 16 games, considering the injuries, crappy line, it being his first season, and being from the 7th round. So 2% better in accuracy, threw for 10 more yards a game, and threw for just 2 more TDs on the season. How would he have compared with established franchise QBs and guys drafted in the 1st round that some think are already destined to be great? As expected, your HOF candidates were better (obviously), but Trevor had a few notable victories: under the above conditions, he threw for more yards than Dak, Eli, Cam, Blake, and Wentz (excluding guys like Brady and Carr who didnt play all 16). Siemian had a better completion percentage than Mariota, Palmer, Rivers, and Winston. He would have thrown for more TDs than Dak, Bradford, Tyrod, Dalton, and Wilson. And finally, one that I think matters more than the others maybe, his TD to INT ratio was on par with or beat out Wilson, Smith, Palmer, Eli, Tannehill, Rivers, Winston, Bortles, Cam, Flacco, and Wentz. Read that sentence one more time, and think about the names of the other QBs I mentioned.
There was a great article by Grantland that talked about whether teams should sit their prized QBs of the future that they just drafted for a season or two and, well, just like you'd expect there isn't a secret formula that every team should use. One of my favorite lines from the piece is:
I’d say that from these examples, it looks like a quarterback is going to succeed independent of whether he starts as a rookie. Situation seems to have more of an impact than time spent on the bench. Daunte Culpepper walked on to a team with Cris Carter and Randy Moss. That probably mattered more than learning the professional ropes from Jeff George. Carson Palmer went from 60.9 percent completions and a dead-even touchdown-to-interception ratio as a rookie to 67.8, 32 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions in his second year. In his case, spending 16 games getting a feel for professional football apparently helped.
Another place to look at history is a good summary by u/er1339 on how many games QBs drafted in the 1st round in the last 20 yrs sat out their first season. Takeaway? There are some guys that worked out (Rodgers, Rivers, Vick) and there are some guys that didn't (Losman, Quinn, Locker, etc). As expected, there's no set path.
And this brings us back to Siemian, and the 1st rounder they have in Lynch that sat last year. The Broncos certainly have a problem on their hands with a surprise late-round QB that showed he can at least keep the team competitive and maybe have upside if he keeps getting better, vs the 1st round pick that struggled last season. The Broncos offseason writeup done by u/BlindManBaldwin does a good job of covering all the happenings, but I'm not convinced Siemian will start, especially if it's close in camp. Unless Siemian runs away with it, at some point they'll want to see what they have in your early pick to know who to invest in, and if there's one knock on Elway it's that he isn't great at drafting with just ONE of his 1st round picks making the pro bowl.
But more than that, this post specifically is about success. What makes a QB successful? How much credit does he deserve for his success, vs the defense, vs his receivers, vs his line? We'll never know if Brady would be as successful had he been drafted by the Browns, or if Dak would be ranked in the top 100 without the O line that he has, or if Siemian could become the next successful later-round franchise QB in the NFL if the Broncos opt to instead bet on the athletic first rounder just to find out what they got. And maybe Siemian will/would have a sophomore slump, and maybe he just had a lucky first season. And if you're Broncos management you don't know of Lynch is the next EJ Manuel, Geno Smith, Christian Ponder, Blaine Gabbert, or Ryan Tannehill. But maybe, just maybe, the 7th rounder from Northwestern that nobody thought had a chance, that beat out Sanchez, that beat out the 1st rounder, that got injured all season without complaining, that won the respect of the best secondary in the NFL, that showed at times flashes of Brady, maybe DEN should see if he's for real.
edit formatting edit tldr (def need that for this, duh)
submitted by DigitalDart to nfl [link] [comments]

Regular Season Week 3 Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers: Pregame Report

Weekly Contest!!!

/Panthers Podcast!

CAROLINA VS. MINNESOTA
69 Attempts 333 Yards Rushing 50 Attempts 95 Yards
547 Yards 5 +20 Yard Receptions Receiving 522 Yards 6 +20 Yard Receptions
110 Total 4 Sacks Tackles 116 Total 7 Sacks
+1 Turnover Ratio +5
33 Avg. PPG 21
  • [Game Information]
|ESPN Game Center| |:-:|
Record Against the Spread
CAROLINA PANTHERS (1-1)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (2-0)
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite: CAROLINA by 7
OveUnder: 43
GAME TIME AND LOCATION:
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC - 1:00pm, September 25, 2016
WEATHER FORECAST: Stadium Type: Open Air Temperature: 86°F Forecast: Generally sunny. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.
NFL Broadcast Map
Broadcast Station FOX - Where to Watch
Announcers: Chris Myers and Ronde BarberAGAIN?!fuck
NFL Red Zone - Provider Participation Required
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Broadcast Information
Need A Ticket?
StubHub
Ticketmaster
Head Official Jerome Boger
CAROLINA WILL BE WEARING WHITE JERSEYS.
  • NFC SOUTH STANDINGS
NFC SOUTH W L T PCT HOME ROAD DIV CONF PF PA DIFF STRK
TB 1 1 0 0.5 0-0 1-1 1-0 1-1 38 64 -26 L1
CAR 1 1 0 0.5 1-0 0-1 0-0 1-0 66 48 +18 W1
ATL 1 1 0 0.5 0-1 1-0 0-1 0-1 59 59 0 W1
NO 0 2 0 0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 47 51 -4 L2
  • In the Red Corner: Minnesota Vikings
We were visited by /minnesotavikings this week. They brought with them an exchange of Q&A. This thread ended up being significantly more thorough than your standard "In the Red Corner" blurb so instead of rewriting it.

HERE IS A LINK!

  • POLL RESULTS
1) Rate the teams overall performance
  • 6 - 12.2%
  • 7 - 48.8%
  • 8 - 36.6%
  • 9 - 2.4%
2) Rate the offense's performance
  • 6 - 4.9%
  • 7 - 12.2%
  • 8 - 36.6%
  • 9 - 41.5%
3) Rate the defense's performance
  • 4 - 9.8%
  • 5 - 4.9%
  • 6 - 24.4%
  • 7 - 43.9%
  • 8 - 14.6%
  • 9 - 2.4%
4) Who was your player of the game?
  • Cam Newton - 17.1%
  • Offensive Line - 17.1%
  • Kelvin Benjamin - 53.7%
5) Who was your goat of the game?
  • Ted Ginn - 59%
  • Kony Ealy - 25.6%
  • Kurt Coleman - 15.4%
6) Is Andy Lee worth the 4th round pick?
  • Yes - 68.3%
  • No - 2.4%
  • Maybe - 29.3%
7) What was more impressive?
  • Newton throwing for 350 and 4 touchdowns - 22%
  • The defense allowing 2.5 yards per carry - 17.1%
  • The defense forcing 3 turnovers for the second week in a row - 12.2%
  • Kelvin Benjamin. - 48.8%
8) Did you use the IRC channel this week?
  • No, not my style - 34.1%
  • No I still don't know what it is - 51.2%
  • No-one goes there 9.8%
9) Thoughts on /Panthers podcast?
  • Haven't heard of it - 55.3%
  • I don't listen to podcasts - 34.2%
  • The hosts are too busy banging Heel's mom to provide any interesting content. - 7.9%
10) How are the Pre and Post game reports looking this year?
  • They look fantastic stop asking us. - 85.4%
  • There are still things that could make it better - 9.8%
  • They suck, stop doing them - 2.4%
  • I like them but sometimes I don't understand what they say - 2.4%
  • Players to Watch: Panthers

Cam Newton

Cam is just coming off a MVP season in which he asserted his dominance late into the season. Usually Cam wouldn't be your typical “watch him” player, but we're interested in seeing if he can maintain the momentum he built up last season. 2 weeks in to the 2016 season, he's already showing he's capable of repeating the kind of year he had. Throwing for 5 TDs and running one in, he is intent on scoring at will. While he's credited with 2 interceptions, both came on tipped passes, meaning he's protecting the ball much better. This week he faces his third strong defense in a row. If he succeeds in putting up good numbers again against a Vikings defense that gave Rodgers his lowest grade of his career, then it wouldn't be too much to consider that there's not many teams that can stop this juggernaut.

Fozzy Whittaker

Johnathan Stewart is out. Which means Fozzy will be tasked again with being the next man up. While he had a stellar game last week, one cannot deny that he's a mixed bag. Either he'll come out and run roughshod on the opponent even with limited carries, or he'll fumble his only carry of the game. Much like Cam, Fozzy will be facing a very strong Vikings defense. Even with one of the best offensive lines in the league opening lanes for you, getting past the Vikings linebackers and safeties will be a real test for Fozzy. He'll need to fully perform if he plans on seeing another year in black and blue.

Tre Boston

No amount of mental gymnastics can convince you that Tre has been good so far. He was to step in and instantly give our defense more youth, speed, and skill over an aged Roman Harper. But so far he's been a liability. Poor tackling, bites on bad plays, and can't seem to be in good position. If this is to be his breakout year, he needs to actually breakout. This week he will be expected to help lock down Stefon Diggs. One thing Diggs does well is beat his man, which makes coverage up top that much more important. Bene and Bradberry will have a bad day if Tre doesn't get his game down.

Kawann Short

KK has been quiet thus far. A little too quiet. Maybe we can attribute to having faced 2 decent offensive lines in a row, but that didn't stop him at all last season. It's obvious our pass rush is lacking this year, and it'll never rev up if our premier interior pass rusher is nowhere to be found. The Vikings offensive line is not horrible, but it's not good either. This could be the spark that ignites KK’s season, but only if he can have himself a game. This is vital, especially if Kawann Short is looking for that big money contract.
  • What to Watch:

Cam Newton Vs. The Vikings’ Defense

Cam Newton’s 353 yard Week 2 performance against the San Francisco 49ers was the most yards he had passed for in a game since his rookie season and the 4th most in his entire career. Cam has been exceptional since midway through last season and has carved up almost every defense he’s played against. However, through the first 2 weeks of the season the Vikings defense has forced the two worst QB ratings of each week. Whilst Mariota has been fairly inconsistent in his young career, Rodgers is considered the best QB currently playing football and even with his recent struggles has still been capable of scoring in bunches and beating good defenses. Both QBs combined for 45 completions on 77 attempts and 3 TD against the Vikings while the Vikings defense has posted 7 sacks, 2 interceptions, 5 recovered fumbles, a turnover ratio of +5 and 2 defensive touchdowns. While Cam has been playing better than Mariota and Rodgers he will still have his hands full trying to beat such a quick and tenacious defense.

Panthers Defensive Line Vs. Vikings Offensive Line

It’s no secret on Panthers that many people are worried about the production, or lack thereof, from the Panthers defensive line, especially the defensive end position. Through two games the Panthers defense has posted just 4 total sacks, one of which came from Safety Tre Boston. Defensive Tackles Star Lotulelei and Vernon Butler have 1 sack each, leaving just 1 sack for Mario Addison as the sole representative for the defensive end position. Starting DT Kawann Short has gotten off to a slow start after posting 11.0 sacks last season while the starting defensive ends Charles Johnson and Kony Ealy have struggled to put pressure on the QB. On the other side, according to ProFootballFocus, “the Vikings now have three of their linemen rank in the bottom five of their position in PFF grade. Matt Kalil (36.9), Andre Smith (40.0) and Brandon Fusco (38.1) are all struggling badly, and expensive free-agent acquisition Alex Boone (54.2) isn’t much better than hat level.” With the loss of LT Matt Kalil to IR, the Vikings will now be starting a backup lineman who presumably has performed even worse than Kalil. This is likely the best opportunity the Panthers defensive line has had this season to pin their ears back and put pressure on the QB. If they can consistently break up the pocket and force Bradford to scramble or take a sack then the Panthers defense should have a good day. If they can’t put pressure on Bradford we will likely see a repeat performance from Bradford and Diggs as they carve up a young and inexperienced secondary on their way to a high scoring day.

Andy Lee Vs. Jeff Locke

Once again we have an interesting punting battle to watch. Andy Lee burst onto the scene in Denver by setting the franchise record for longest punt and had another fantastic punt downed by rookie Daryl Worley on the 2 yard line in last week’s game against the 49ers. While Lee’s punts in week 2 didn’t rack up similar yardage as they did in Week 1 they served their purpose in keeping Chip Kelly’s offense pinned deep in their own territory. Vikings Punter Jeff Locke was drafted in the 5th round of the 2013 draft and has had his share of struggles since entering the league. However, during last week’s Sunday Night Football game against the Packers Locke put forward arguably his best game ever, downing 5 out of 7 punts inside the 20 yard line and making life difficult for Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the Packers’ offense. In a game featuring two top-flight defenses the field position battle can play an important part in determining the victor and whichever Punter has the better game could earn themselves a game ball.
  • Injury Report: CAROLINA PANTHERS
Name Pos. Injury Status
Cash, Jeremy LB Hamstring DNP
Short, Kawann DT Shoulder LP
Stewart, Jonathan RB Hamstring DNP
Turner, Trai G Ankle FP
  • Injury Report: Minnesota Vikings
Name Pos. Injury Status
Adrian Peterson RB Knee DNP
Sharrif Floyd DT Knee DNP
Kyle Rudolph TE Groin FP
Danielle Hunter DE Knee FP
Eric Kendricks LB Ankle FP
Xavier Rhodes CB Knee LP
MyCole Pruitt TE Knee LP

Week 3 Picks

  • CBS
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/2
Pete Prisco Jason LaConfora Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Record 20-12 19-13 16-16 19-13 20-12 20-12 24-8* 23-9
CAR X X X X X X X X
MIN
*indicates lead dog
  • FOX
http://www.foxsports.com/nfl/story/nfl-expert-picks-predictions-090816
Chris Chase Dieter Kurtenbach Andrew Lynch Peter Schrager Brett Smiley What If Sports
Record 16-16 22-12 24-8* 23-9 21-11 17-15
CAR X X X X X X
MIN
*indicates lead dog
  • ESPN
http://www.espn.com/nfl/picks
Matt Bowen Adam Caplan Mike Golic Dan Graziano Merril Hoge Ron Jaworski KC Joyner Kevin Seifert Seth Wickersham
Record 21-11* 19-13 21-11* 18-14 21-11* 20-12 21-11* 20-12 18-14
CAR X X X X X X X X
MIN X
*indicates lead dog
  • TOTALS
CBS FOX ESPN Total
CAROLINA 8 6 8 22
MINNESOTA 0 0 1 1
  • NFL Pick Watch
All expert 2016 NFL Picks compared. A free ad-click funded service comparing every analyst at ESPN, Bleacher Report, CBS, FOX, Yahoo!, ProFootballFocus, USA Today, Accuscore, NFL Network, NFL.com, SI.com and more – sorted by season win percentage.
CAROLINA PANTHERS 90%
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 10%
  • Top 10 Experts Picks
Rank Expert Network Season Record % Pick
1 Andrew Lynch FOX Sports 24-9 72%
1 Dave Richard CBS Sports 24-9 72%
1 Sam Farmer LA Times 24-9 72%
1 Vinnie Iyer Sporting News 24-9 72%
1 Chris Simms Bleacher Report 24-9 72%
1 Lorenzo Reyes USA Today 24-9 72%
2 Joel Thorman SB Nation 23-10 69%
2 Jamey Eisenberg CBS Sports 23-10 69%
2 Jeff Ratcliffe Pro Football Focus 23-10 69%
2 Mike Middlehurst-Schwartz USA Today 23-10 69%
  • Computer Driven Statistical Probabilities
Amos Bing ESPN FPI Project 538 Microsoft Cortana
Record 18-14 17-15 19-13 20-12 18-14
81% 74% 68% 66% 74%
19% 26% 32% 34% 26%
  • NFC STANDINGS
Team Record Division Conference Differential Reason
New York Giants 2-0 1-0 2-0 +4 Undefeated w/ 2 conf games
Minnesota Vikings 2-0 1-0 1-0 +12 Undefeated with 1 div and conf game
Philadelphia Eagles 2- 0 0-0 1-0 +34 Undefeated with conf game
San Francisco 49ers 1-1 1-0 1-1 +9 Div win
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1-1 1-0 1-1 -26 Div win
Carolina Panthers 1-1 0-0 1-0 +18 Conf win
Los Angeles Rams 1-1 1-1 1-1 -22 1 of each
Arizona Cardinals 1-1 0-0 1-0 +31 No div win
Dallas Cowboys 1-1 1-1 1-1 +3 They beat the Redskins
Detroit Lions 1-1 0-0 0-0 +3 Didn't lose conf game
Atlanta Falcons 1-1 0-1 0-1 0 Lost div game
Green Bay Packers 1-1 0-1 0-1 +1 Lost div game
Seattle Seahawks 1-1 0-1 0-1 -4 Better diff than Bears
Chicago Bears 0-2 0-0 0-1 -24 No divison loss
New Orleans Saints 0-2 0-1 0-1 -4 They suck but don't have a -26 diff
Washington Redskins 0-2 0-1 0-1 -26 They suck
  • (x) Clinched Division
  • (z) Clinched Bye
  • (y) Clinched Playoff Berth
  • Quick facts for the conference
  • IN CASE YOU MISSED IT
Below is things you missed.

Reminder to not go into the Saints or Vikings subreddit after the game on Sunday.

Thanks to the team!
Disclaimer: Any changes that need to be made won't be made until I get a nap, because they were likely caused by me not having a nap. 48 hours is too long to be awake so I'm going to rest and when I come back I'll fix all the little things you guys point out. Keep Pounding!
submitted by BananaGooP to panthers [link] [comments]

Weekly Predictor Challenge -- Week 7 -- Analysis, picks, odds and ends.

"Any Given Sunday." That quote rings in my head after what just happened in week 6. Some big footnotes for those who didn't follow along with all the games:
 
FOOTNOTES
  • Aaron Rodgers is done till the end of the season with a broken collarbone. A god damn shame. Brett Hundley will replace him going forward (2015 5th round pick, 1st meaningful game against the Vikings yielded 18/33 comp for 157 yds, 1 TD and 3 INTS).
  • Falcons showed shades of the Super Bowl giving up 20 unanswered points to the Dolphins and losing 20-17. Matt Ryan has now blown the most leads (5) of any NFL QB in the last decade. The next closest only had 3.
  • The Chiefs ended their undefeated streak against the Steelers at home, even though Kareem Hunt continued his unparalleled streak of 100+ scrimmage yds games to start a career. He set the NFL record with his 6th straight.
  • Adrian Peterson is BACK. I said it in last weeks predictor and I was thankfully correct on that one at least (it's the little things). Adrian Peterson came back and he came back angry. He clearly has a chip on his shoulder and wants to prove he still has it. Cleary, the guy wasn't lying and he will sway the Cardinals upwards (how far is yet to be seen).
  • The Saints' D scored 21 of their 52 points last week against the Lions, effectively making Drew Brees secondary to the win. To say this almost never happens is an understatement, and shows just how crazy week 6 was.
  • The Giants couldn't have been bigger underdogs in their contest against the Broncos. They were missing their top 3 WRs to injury (two are done for the year), their running game had yet to show up this season do to terrible o-line play and bad RB awareness, and the Giants D had yet to have a standout game (and they were without #2 CB Cromartie due to team suspension). Every narrative was against them yet they beat all the odds. The Giants scored on their first offensive drive (something the Broncos D doesn't allow to happen), they had a RB over 100 yds for the first time this season (Broncos rank #1 against the rush), and they beat the Broncos at home which is very hard to do. All in all, a crazy game that went against every prediction and eventuality known to man. Kudos to the Giants.
  • McCown looked like Aaron Rodgers against the Patriots pass D (he finished 31/47 for 354 yds, 2 TDs and 2 INTs). It's really that bad, and even though they exposed McCown on two INTs, this unit does not elicit confidence, so going forward they simply can't be trusted.
  • Mitch Trubisky gets his first win in unlikely fashion against the Ravens. A touchdown pass from a running back, a kickoff return for a touchdown, an interception returned for a touchdown, a punt return for a touchdown, and a 53-yard run in overtime were all parts of the Chicago Bears’ wild 27-24 overtime victory against the host Baltimore Ravens. Crazy to say the least.
  • DeShaun Watson is the real deal. He set the NFL rookie record this past week throwing 3 TDs in three straight games (he has 15 on the year, most in the NFL).
  • Brian Hoyer was benched in favor of rookie C.J. Beathard (real name), who nearly led a come back to take down the Redskins. It is now 5 consecutive losses by 3 points or fewer for the 49ers.
  • Derek Carr came back from a back injury after just one week and still looks out of sorts. He claims his injury has nothing to do with his play, so it'll be interesting if he can reclaim his former glory and bring his team back into contention.
  • Jameis Winston suffered an Aaron Rodgers-esque injury that looked bad, but initial MRI results came back positive for the team (indicating no break). Fitzpatrick then threw a TD pass which makes it 7 different teams he's now thrown a TD for while in the lineup. 7. Different. Teams.
 
Here's to hoping week 7 in the NFL regresses back to the mean, and things become more predictable. I finished my picks last week 13 for 32 and it was LOWSY. To get over this hump (my first sub 20+ pick week) I'm kicking this segment into high gear, and although no one can predict these things with outright clarity, I'm going to post more expert opinion (picks from CBS Sports, ESPN and other sports sites that get their picks in time for our predictor), more analysis for each pick than last week, as well as the Vegas odds.
 
P.S. - I'm doing this as a reference guide so people can come here and get expert picks, vegas odds, some analysis about the pick, and someone else's opinion all in one place. Use my picks if you think it sounds correct, and don't use my picks if this conflicts with your gut opinion, how you feel, or your own stats (stats can tell any tale they want, I'm just telling mine here). I will never claim to get all these 100% right even though I try my best at these, so if you're coming here to complain that I got picks wrong IN HINDSIGHT, see yourself out the door because you are not wanted here.
However, if anyone has opinions on how I can make this weekly segment better just let me know! I'm always here for great critiques and getting better if it serves this sub with better quality.
Good luck everyone! Here's to week 7.
PICKS
1) -- Bills Win vs Bucs -- TRUE -- The Bills should be the better team, but injuries are hampering them right now, especially on offense where they are missing key WRs (Matthews and Clay). This absolutely led to their loss against the Bengals because their offense was stifled, and this trend can continue if Tyrod and McCoy can't rally this team back. The Bills currently sit at 30th in pass offense and 17th in rush offense, but the Bucs are struggling as well and Jameis is banged up (he might not actually suit up, even though the MRI came back positive on his throwing shoulder). The Bucs are also playing consecutive road games while the Bills are coming off a bye, and that matters this far into the season. Look for the Bills to win a close one, injuries and all, at home to a possible Ryan Fitzpatrick led offense.
(Vegas odds) - Bills -3
(Bleacher Report) - Bills
(SB Nation) - Bills
(CBS Sports) - Bills
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 38.6% TB/61.1% Buf
 
2) -- McCoy has 1+ TDs -- TRUE -- Unbelievably, LeSean McCoy has 0 TDs this season. That caught me off guard. I'm not willing to bet that streak continues since the Bills are coming off of a bye week at home, he's used in the passing game as well, and some star WRs are injured for the team (Matthews and Clay). Even if Matthews suits up this week (he's been cleared to practice finally), I just don't see this scoreless streak continuing for LeSean. Minus a few times in his career, he's never really gone longer than 2-3 games without a score, so I'm betting he rights the ship and finds the endzone this week.
 
3) -- Panthers Win vs Bears -- TRUE -- If you didn't read my footnote on the Bears' scoring last week up above, go back and read it. You think that type of scoring is likely to happen two weeks in a row? I don't think so, and I absolutely don't think Trubisky guides the Bears to a win with only 113 yds on 8/16 (his stats last week). If Luke Kuechly doesn't suit up (currently going through concussion protocol and hasn't practiced yet), this could be a closer match-up, but I still see the Panthers edging this one out. The Panthers also had a "mini" bye week since they played last Thursday night, so that's an advantage. Will Cam's accuracy look like MUT and ruin the game for the Panthers, or will he come out like he did against the Patriots and win this? Time will tell.
(Vegas odds) - Panthers -3
(Bleacher report) - Panthers
(SB Nation) - Panthers
(CBS Sports) - Panthers
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 30.2% Bears/69.5% Panthers
 
4) -- Jordan Howard has 75+ rush yds -- FALSE -- Panthers rank 5th in rushing this season defensively, but the Bears offense relies heavily on Jordan Howard to win games. He's averaging 4.0 yds per rush and 82.5 yds a game this season so far, with one opponent being the Vikings where he rushed for 76 yds (they rank 3rd in rushing in the league). If Luke Keuchly doesn't play (going through concussion protocol), then this is more likely, but make no mistake, there are plenty of defensive playmakers on this squad without him. I think the Panthers take away the running game, stack the box and make Mitch Trubisky beat them through the air.
 
5) -- Titans win against Browns by 7+ -- TRUE -- The Browns are rotating their QBs yet again, going with the rookie Deshone Kizer this week. So far this season he's thrown 9 INTs, has a comp % of 50.9 and a QB rating of 49.5 (dead last among starting QBs). So the Titans SHOULD win (I will never say virtual lock again thanks to the Giants vs Broncos game...), but by 7+? The Browns have lost 3 games by 7+ this season, and the other 3 by only a FG, so this is 50/50, but I say the Titans extend the 7+ loss streak with their rookie QB starting against this Dick Lebeau led defense.
(Vegas odds) - Titans -6.5
(Bleacher Report) - Titans
(SB Nation) - Titans
(CBS Sports) - Titans
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 32.8% Browns/66.9% Titans
 
6) -- Browns D has at least 2 sacks -- FALSE -- The Titans are allowing the 11th fewest sacks so far this season, but Mariota is hampered still with his hamstring, so these might offset each other. The Browns are also getting about 2 sacks per game, minus 2 games where they accumulated 1 sack in each contest. The Titans have only given up 2 sacks in a game twice this season, and against the dolphins they let 6 happen, but Cassel was in for the injured Mariota and I see that playing a huge part. Mariota is back, so I'm betting the Browns don't get it.
 
7) -- Saints Win against Packers by 6+ -- TRUE -- The Saints dominated a game where Drew Brees finished with 21/31, 186 yds and 2 TDs. That speaks volumes. The defense actually scored more points than him, which is astounding considering how slowly this D started the season (and almost coughed up the huge lead against the Lions). This will be the first game without Rodgers at home and that is a huge hit. Brett Hundley (his replacement) played his first meaningful game last week, and it didn't look great. However, there just isn't a lot of tape on him to assume one thing or another, but if last weeks outing is close to what he does against the Saints this week, then look for NO to win by a lot more than just 6+ points.
(Vegas Odds) - NO -3.5
(Bleacher Report) - Saints
(SB Nation) - Saints
(CBS Sports) - Packers
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 49.5% Packers/50.1% Saints
 
8) -- Brett Hundley has 200+ pass yds -- TRUE -- 200 yds really isn't that much in today's NFL, and even though he doesn't have a lot of on field experience, I'm willing to bet he passes for more than 200. The Saints rank near dead last in the NFL in pass yds allowed, and there are just too many weapons for Hundley to utilize for him to not reach the 200 yds mark at home against a high scoring Saints team. Unless injury strikes again, or he gets benched for his play, then look for him to get this.
 
9) -- Jags Win vs Colts by 3+ -- TRUE -- The Rams won last week because of special teams play (scored 2 TDs), and that can't be a reliable factor week in and week out in terms of beating teams, so I don't see the Colts getting lucky like that this week against the Jags. The Jags also have a superior D and Brisset hasn't played a defense quite as talented yet (minus the Seahawks who man handled them), so the deck is stacked in the favor of the Jags. Fournette injured his ankle slightly against the Rams, but is assumed to suit up at this point even though he hasn't practiced yet, so all signs point towards a victory of at least 3 points, if not more.
(Vegas Odds) - Jags -3.5
(Bleacher Report) - Colts
(SB Nation) - Jags
(CBS Sports) - Jags
(ESPN's Matchup Index) - 26.5% Colts/73.2% Jags
 
10) -- Jabaal Sheard has 1+ sacks -- FALSE -- The Jags o-line have given up the 10 fewest sacks in the league so far, while Sheard has one sack in two games this season so far. He's also used as an edge rusher, which is why the Colts picked him up in the first place, but nothing about his play screams "he's gonna get this" for me. He's the typical 5-9 sack season guy that plays well enough within the system to stay on the field in some sort of role, but never challenges to be a star. The o-line play and reliance on the running game tells me that Sheard won't get this, but one blitz that hits home is all it takes for this to be wrong.
 
11) -- Rams Win vs Cardinals by 4+ -- FALSE -- I'm going with the slight upset. The Cardinals look rejuvenated with Adrian back, which gives them an edge again and may be the difference in the game. Cardinals are stingy against the run (currently ranked 9th with only one team going over 100 yds on the season against them), while the Rams (currently ranked 29th) have allowed 100 yard rusher in 4 out of 6 of their games this season. Combined with the passing game, I think the Cardinals take this one, and the special team unit won't be there to bail out the Rams like last week.
(Vegas Odds) - Rams -2.5
(Bleacher Report) - Cardinals
(SB Nation) - Rams
(CBS Sports) - Cardinals
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 46.7% Cardinals/52.9% Rams
 
12) -- Goff 275+ pass yds -- TRUE -- The Cardinals have let 3 QBs throw for over 275+ this season so far (Wentz, Stafford and Fitzpatrick), and if my prediction of the Rams getting stifled in the running game turns out to be true, then Goff is going to have to throw to stay in the game. I'm hoping my poor streak of picking people to get a yardage total ends, and Goff finds a way to get 276 passing yards against a struggling pass D.
 
13) -- Dolphins Win vs Jets 3+ -- FALSE -- I'm going against the spread on this because the Dolphins offense is just bad (32nd in points scored, 32nd in passing yds per game, 32nd in total yds per game, 27th in rushing). I have no idea how the Falcons blew that 17 point lead, but apparently they haven't shaken the rust off from the Super Bowl. The Dolphins' defense keeps them in games, and they're playing very admirably (3rd in points allowed, 11th in average yds per game allowed, 4th in rush D), so if McCown makes a lot of mistakes then the Dolphins can absolutely take this, but I just can't side with a team that plays at such a terrible level on the offensive side of the ball. And if Jay ajayi can't get going like week 3? It's going to be even worse. The Dolphins already lost to the Jets this season 20-6, and I don't see that changing.
(Vegas Odds) - Miami -3.5
(Bleacher Report) - Jets
(SB Nation) - Miami
(CBS Sports) - Miami
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 26.1% Jets/73.6% Miami
 
14) -- Cutler 20+ completions -- TRUE -- He's done this in 3 weeks so far (including against the Jets week 3), and completed 19 last week, so besides one week (against the Titans) this has always been true. The Jets did great against him last time and only let him complete 26 of 44 of his passes. I see him throwing a high volume of times again to try to stay in the game.
 
15) -- Vikings Win vs Ravens by 5+ -- TRUE -- I've trusted the Ravens offense far too many times this season, and they clearly don't deserve it (24th in points scored, 31st in passing, 29th in average yds per game). The Vikings on the other hand are very well rounded both on offense and defense (Case Keenum is playing the best football of his career right now), and rank around 10 or above in some major categories (10th yds per game, 12th in passing, 5th in points allowed). The Vikings are just a better team and it's a home game for them. I take the Vikings all day.
(Vegas Odds) - MIN -4.5
(Bleacher Report) - Ravens
(SB Nation) - Vikings
(CBS Sports) - Vikings
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 24.5% Ravens/75.3% Min
 
16) -- Kyle Rudolph has 4+ receptions -- TRUE -- Kyle Rudolph is one of the most talent TEs in the game today, and a strong part of that Vikings Offense, so I would never bet against this guy. He has at least 4 recs in three games out of the six so far this season, and I see that continuing (he's coming off two straight games with 4+ recs).
 
17) -- Cowboys Win vs 49ers by 6+ -- TRUE -- The 49ers have lost 5 straight games by 3 points or less. FIVE. That streak has to end at some point right? Well, it will just not in the way they want. Cowboys will have Zeke for at least one more week which is huge, and they are coming off of a bye week hungry after losing two straight games even though they scored 30+ points. I see them stepping on the gas and not letting off just to let the NFL know they are still ready to play. And if they get Sean Lee back from injury, even better. The 49ers are starting their rookie QB CJ Beathard this week, so with that I think the Cowboys win by at least a TD due to these circumstances.
(Vegas Odds) - DAL -6
(Bleacher Report) - Cowboys
(SB Nation) - Cowboys
(CBS Sports) - Cowboys
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 27.4% 49ers/72.4% Dal
 
18) -- Elvis Dumervil has 1+ sacks -- FALSE -- I see this as a get right game for the Cowboys' talented O-line who hasn't quite lived up to their reputation so far this season. Dumervil has notched a sack in two games so far this season, but against struggling O-lines (Cardinals and Colts), so I don't think that's a trend that continues. He's also older and near the end of his career, so maybe early Dumervil was a lock to get this, but not aging Dumervil. Just like with the last sacks pick, all it takes is one blitz to hit home for this pick to be wrong, but I believe in this Dallas o-line coming off of a bye week.
 
19) -- Seahawks Win vs Giants by 6+ -- TRUE -- I'm not picking the Giants to beat the Seahawks. I'm just not. I don't care that they just beat the Broncos, without Odell and Marshall (and possibly Shepard still), I will not pick them. They had one good game, and they deserved that win because the Broncos looked lost, but I don't see that happening twice, and especially with the Seahawks coming off of a bye week. They're still banged up defensively, but Russell Wilson is better than Siemian, and I don't see him creating the same mistakes. Will it be by a TD though? I say it does, but that's just my gut feeling.
(Vegas Odds) - SEA -7.5
(Bleacher Report) - Giants
(SB Nation) - Seahawks
(CBS Sports) - Seahawks
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 46.6% Giants/53% Seahawks
 
20) -- Evan Engram has 5+ recs -- TRUE -- He's basically done this in every game he's played this season (he had 4 recs in two games), and without Odell or Marshall (and possible Shepard) to vulture catches, I think he's good for 5 recs in this game. He's very talented and has a bright future with the Giants.
 
21) -- Steelers Win vs Bengals by 6+ -- TRUE -- The Steelers are at home and starting to look more like themselves after ending the Chiefs' undefeated streak in Kansas City. Big ben played better, Le'Veon was dominant and Antonio Brown was in typical form, while the Steelers D did a great job to contain the highest powered offense in the league currently. The Bengals, on the other hand, are 30th in scoring and rely heavily on AJ Green to get anything going. I see the Steelers continuing their winning ways, and beating the Bengals by a TD.
(Vegas Odds) - PIT -4
(Bleacher Report) - Pit
(SB Nation) - Pit
(CBS Sports) - Pit
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 29.1% Bengals/70.7% Pit
 
22) -- Antonio Brown has 125+ rec yds -- FALSE -- Brown has only done this ONCE in his entire career vs the Bengals, surprisingly. He's gone over 125 rec yds 3 times alone this year. I say he doesn't reach this because the Bengals are usually good at controlling him from going crazy stats wise, and they rank 2nd in pass D this season. The rivalry games are usually great contests, and I see Brown getting contained to around 100 yds, rather than more than 125.
 
23) -- Chargers beat Broncos -- TRUE -- Chargers are just one of those teams that seems to beat themselves in the end all the time. Every game this season has been decided by 5 points or less, with 4 losses coming by 4 points or less. A missed kick here, a fumble there. It doesn't end for this team it seems. Further, the Broncos typically own the Chargers (Broncos have won 6 of their last 7 meetings), so why pick the Chargers? Well, the Broncos played terribly last week, and Trevor has not been the same since they played each other in week 1. He put up big numbers against the Giants in garbage time to try and get the game back, but all in all this team doesn't look as unbeatable week 1. Also, week 1 was decided by a missed FG by the chargers (go figure), and coming off of two straight wins I see the chargers coming into this energized and ready to go at home.
(Vegas Odds) - DEN -2.5
(Bleacher Report) - Chargers
(SB Nation) - Den
(CBS Sports) - Chargers
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 40.4% Den/59.2% Chargers
 
24) -- Melvin Gordon has 20+ rush attempts -- TRUE -- He's their workhorse, and has gone for over 20 attempts in 2 of the last 3 meetings with the Broncos (week 1 he went for 18 attempts). If the Broncos pull away quickly then they have to throw more, but I see him being the focal point after what the Giants just did to this defense last week with an inferior o-line and RB. He's coming off of two straight games with 20+ attempts and I don't see that stopping barring injury.
 
25) -- Pats Win vs Falcons by 4+ -- FALSE -- This one is gonna be a high scoring affair, no doubt, but it will most likely be determined by a FG. The Falcons are simply not the same offense they were just last season and aren't putting up gaudy numbers, however, the Patriots pass D is truly bad (McCown went for 354 and 2 TDs last week). Falcons will also have revenge on their mind after the Super Bowl, but how successful that will be is yet to be seen. I think the Patriots will edge them out at home, but it will be by a FG, not a TD.
(Vegas Odds) - PAT -3.5
(Bleacher Report) - Falcons
(SB Nation) - Patriots
(CBS Sports) - Falcons
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 31% Falcons/68.8% Patriots
 
26) -- Rob Gronk has 1+ TDs -- TRUE -- I would never bet against Gronk to score a TD, which he threatens to do in every contest he plays in. He's on a record pace for TDs, and I would never wanna be the one that missed a pick because I decided the most dominate TE in the game (next to Kelce) wouldn't score. He has a score in every game besides two so far this season.
 
27) -- Brandin Cooks has 85+ rec yds -- FALSE -- He's done this in 4 out of 6 games so far this season, but he absolutely relies on the long ball to get there (without a 30+ yd catch he only has done 85+ rec yds once). He's a threat to challenge the long ball every down, but I'm taking the risk and siding with the chances of him not hitting the long ball this week and coming up short.
 
28) -- Julio Jones 1+ TDs -- TRUE -- If someone told me Julio Jones wouldn't have a TD going into week 7 of the 2017 NFL season, I would ask how high you were, yet here we are and it's real. TD totals aren't exactly what he's known for, but he's never gone 6+ games without a TD catch of some kind. I'm a numbers guy, and these just aren't adding up, so I'm siding with Jones regressing back to the mean and getting a score this week against the Patriots. Plus, the Patriots pass D is terrible.
 
29) -- Eagles Win vs Redskins by 5+ points -- TRUE -- This game kicks off a 3 home game stretch for the Eagles, so the atmosphere is gonna be electric. The Eagles are also arguably the best team in the NFC currently, having already convincingly beat the Redskins week 1. For those in the know with the NFC East, however, knows that these rivalry games are crazy, and anything is possible, but I don't see a split series this year. The Eagles are probably a little pissed off at the Redskins too knowing that they swept the series the last two years in a row, so they'll look to right the ship and sweep them this year.
(Vegas Odds) - PHIL -5.5
(Bleacher Report) - Redskins
(SB Nations) - Eagles
(CBS Sports) - Eagles
(ESPN Matchup Index) - 29.4% Wash/70.4% Eagles
 
30) -- Blount at least 75+ rush yds -- FALSE -- Blount is an enigma to me in Philly. He's easily their best RB, yet they try to outsmart themselves week in and week out by subbing in Smallwood or Clement with less success. He's only topped 16 carries once, and that was also the only game where he ended up with more than 75+ rush yds as well. Eagles just don't utilize him very much, so It's hard trusting this dude to reach this yardage total. He only rushed for 46 yds in the first meeting with the Redskins.
 
31) -- Alshon Jeffery 50+ rec yds -- TRUE -- 50 yds is such a low yardage total that I have to side with "true" in every situation. He only had 38 yds in the first meeting, but Wentz and Alshon have a better repertoire now and Josh Norman most likely won't play in this contest. Even if he does, 50 yds is not hard to get for someone as talented as Jerffery, who has 50+ yds in 3 games so far this season.
 
32) -- Jordan Reed has 5+ receptions -- TRUE -- This dude is constantly hobbled by injuries. He hasn't had a fully healthy season yet. And still, he's one of the best TEs in the game when he plays. 5+ recs should be nothing for this dude, but his health makes any pick with him involved hard to make. He's too talented to not get this, and he's more than capable of taking advantage of this weak Eagles secondary. He had 5 recs in week 1 against the Eagles.
 
That's it for week 7. Let's get this 89+ auctionable.
--AFTER 16--
8/16 - Better pace so far than last week, and could be better if injury didn't sideline Palmer and Cutler. McCown lost the game with a late INT while already backed up to their redzone as well. Here's hoping for better luck coming up!
--AFTER 24--
15/24 - That's more like it. Almost perfect on the late afternoon games, and missed being perfect by two carries from Gordon! Hoping to get at least 5 more right to get to 20 at least on the week.
--AFTER 28--
17/28 - What a terrible showing by the Falcons. I mean wow. Like I said in my analysis, they simply haven't been the same team they were last year offensively, but the Patriots (almost dead last in defensive rankings in the entire NFL) absolutely man handled them. Josh McCown threw for 354 and 2 TDs with a lesser team just last week, while Matt freaking Ryan threw for 233 and 1 TD in garbage time (thankfully to Julio Jones so I can split this game in picks). How can such a talented offense put up such paltry numbers? I suspect some offensive coordinator changes are on the horizon because their problems simply won't go away. The Patriots have now outscored the Falcons 54-7 since the 3rd Q of Super Bowl LI.
--AFTER 32--
20/32 - Almost perfect, but the other WRs for the Eagles shined and took the catches away from Alshon. Besides that we hit on everything else and we at least made it to 20! I forget if there is bonus at this stage, but I'll take a free 5,000 coins any day. Hopefully next week is even better and we keep trending towards that 89+ autionable or the full million points.
Hope other faired better than me this week. May the pack odds forever be in your favor.
(I reserve the right to edit this after posting, and add more expert picks)
submitted by -Paradox-11 to MaddenUltimateTeam [link] [comments]

nfl picks against the spread week 12 sb nation video

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NFL Expert Picks - Super Bowl Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Wild Card Divisional Round Conference Get the latest NFL Week 12 picks from CBS Sports. Experts weigh in with analysis and provide premium picks for upcoming NFL games. NFL picks against the spread, Week 12: Underdogs seem to be the story. A look at handicapping all the Sunday games. Sunday is nearly upon us and Week 12 games in the NFL are here. Jay Cutler... NFL Picks on SB Nation. Sign up for the newsletter Good Morning It’s Basketball NBA news and links delivered to your inbox each weekday, so you never miss out. In our picks and predictions against the spread for Week 12 of the 2020 NFL season, Patrick Mahomes keeps beating Tom Brady, the Eagles get key playoff revenge and the Raiders recover from a tough NFL computer picks are computer-generated NFL outcomes that rely only on facts and figures to provide the top, unbiased stats-driven simulated NFL predictions for every game each week over the course of the entire NFL season. NFL computer picks are popular because football bettors trust the accuracy of a computer’s algorithm over human influence. View Week 1 NFL Point Spreads from 100+ experts. Find out which team the Expert Consensus would bet for every NFL game. Odds and Expert Picks for Week 12: Matchup (w/ spread) Over-Under: Andrew Lynch, Fox Sports: Joel Thorman, SB Nation: K.C. Joyner, ESPN: Elliot Harrison, NFL Network Pickwatch tracks NFL expert picks and millions of fan picks for free to tell you who the most accurate handicappers in 2020 are at ESPN, CBS, FOX and many more are, straight up and against the spread.

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NFL Conference Championship Score Predictions 2020 (NFL ...

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